ColombiaColombia
Primera APrimera A
Ronde 6

América de Cali vs Independiente Santa Fe Voorspelling en Wedtips

14 feb 2026
1-0
Einde
Olimpico Pascual Guerrero, Cali
Correct
Onze keuze
Totaal doelpunten
Under 2.5
@ 1.57
1 : 0
FT

Wedtips

45%
28%
28%
América de CaliGelijkspelIndependiente Santa Fe
Resultaat
Thuiswinst
@ 1.88
45%
Beide scoren
Nee
@ 1.76
53%
Dubbele kans
Thuis/Gelijkspel
@ 1.27
37%
Asian handicap
H. Thuis -0.50
@ 1.97
51%
Eerste Helft
Gelijkspel
@ 1.88
45%
HT/FT
Gelijkspel/Thuis
@ 4.50
22.2%
Exacte score
1:0
@ 5.03
19.9%

Aanvullende markten

Totaal hoekschoppen
Under 9.5
@ 1.70
54.7%
Doelpuntenmaker op elk moment
Rodrigo Holgado
38.2%@ 2.62
Yeison Guzman
34.7%@ 2.88
Kevin Angulo
34.7%@ 2.88
Jhordy Camacho
33.3%@ 3.00
Adrian Ramos
32.3%@ 3.10
Hugo Rodallega
32.3%@ 3.10
Odds elk uur bijgewerkt
Voorspellingen opnieuw berekend elke 2 uur
Gespiegeld 2 uur voor de aftrap

Expertanalyse

David Coleman
David Coleman Senior Voetbalanalist
75% 20+ jaren
6 min lezen

America de Cali vs Santa Fe: A Crucial Clash in the Colombian Primera A As the Colombian Primera A season progresses into its early stages, every fixture carries weight — but few matches promise the emotional investment and tactical intrigue of the u...

Lees volledige analyse

Wedstrijdgegevens

América de Cali
América de Cali heeft 3 clean sheets in 5 wedstrijden gehouden (60%)
América de Cali heeft 3 rode kaarten ontvangen in 5 wedstrijden dit seizoen
América de Cali gemiddeld 3.2 gele kaarten per wedstrijd (16 in 5 wedstrijden)
Independiente Santa Fe
Independiente Santa Fe scoort 50% van hun doelpunten na de 75e minuut (3 goals)
Beide teams hebben gescoord in 4 van de laatste 5 wedstrijden van Independiente Santa Fe (80%)
Independiente Santa Fe gemiddeld 3 gele kaarten per wedstrijd (15 in 5 wedstrijden)

Belangrijke Statistieken

América de Cali6
6Gelijkspelen
6Independiente Santa Fe
1.89Gem. Goals
33%Beide Scoren
28%Plus 2.5
14 feb 2026América de Cali1-0Independiente Santa Fe
3 aug 2025Independiente Santa Fe2-1América de Cali
15 feb 2025América de Cali2-0Independiente Santa Fe
12 nov 2024América de Cali0-0Independiente Santa Fe
21 apr 2024Independiente Santa Fe1-0América de Cali
Bekijk alle onderlinge wedstrijden

Kansen

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet1.423.152.65
188Bet2.133.253.30
1xBet2.313.023.24

Volledige analyse

David Coleman
David Coleman
Senior Voetbalanalist
75% Nauwkeurigheid
20+ Jaren ervaring
5.5k Voorspellingen

America de Cali vs Santa Fe: A Crucial Clash in the Colombian Primera A

As the Colombian Primera A season progresses into its early stages, every fixture carries weight — but few matches promise the emotional investment and tactical intrigue of the upcoming showdown between America de Cali and Santa Fe. For these two giants, this fixture isn’t just about three points; it’s about establishing momentum, asserting dominance in a crowded league table, and shaping perceptions of their championship ambitions.

Setting the Stage: A Battle for Mid-Table Supremacy

While neither team is yet firmly ensconced at the league summit, this clash offers a critical juncture. America de Cali, sitting in eighth place with seven points, aims to solidify their position and leverage their home advantage in Cali. Santa Fe, trailing slightly behind in tenth but with a game in hand and a recent winning streak, seeks to capitalize on their momentum and climb into the upper echelons of the standings.

With the season still in its infancy, each point carries amplified significance, and the tactical narratives emerging from this match could influence the teams' trajectories in the weeks to come.

Momentum and Form: The Race of Resurgence and Consistency

Examining recent form paints a picture of two teams with contrasting fortunes. America de Cali's last five encounters show a pattern of resilience and sporadic brilliance: a record of two wins, two draws, and a single loss. Their attacking output, averaging 1.1 goals per game, remains modest but sufficient, especially with a solid defensive base conceding just 0.8 on average.

Santa Fe, on the other hand, boasts a slightly better record—four wins in their last five matches—indicating a streak of confidence and attacking potency, with an average of 1.4 goals scored per game. Their defense, conceding just 0.7 on average, has been particularly stingy, which could frustrate America’s attacking plans.

Both teams display defensive resilience, with clean sheets recorded in roughly 40% of recent fixtures, but Santa Fe’s sharper recent form suggests they might carry a psychological edge into Cali.

Strategic Tactics: The Battle of Formation and Philosophy

America de Cali typically sets up in a 4-2-3-1, favoring possession and structured build-up, aiming to exploit spaces through quick passing and width. Their midfield duo will be crucial in disrupting Santa Fe’s rhythm and initiating attacks. Expect them to press high initially, trying to impose their tempo early.

Santa Fe likely adopts a more pragmatic approach, possibly deploying a 4-3-3 or a variation of it, emphasizing compactness and counter-attacks. Their focus will be on quick transitions, leveraging the pace of creative midfielders like N. Bustos and the goal threat of C. Mafla and E. Olivera.

In this tactical tapestry, the key battles will be in midfield dominance and set-piece scenarios — areas where both sides have shown potential but also vulnerability.

Decisive Figures: Players Who Could Tilt the Balance

  • America de Cali:
    • Y. Guzmán: The top scorer with 2 goals, his movement and finishing accuracy will be pivotal in breaking down Santa Fe’s tight defense.
    • T. Palacios: A versatile midfielder with 1 goal and an assist, capable of orchestrating attacks and providing energy in midfield battles.
    • M. Castillo: Sharpness in the penalty area means he could be the difference-maker in tight situations.
  • Santa Fe:
    • C. Mafla: Their leading scorer with 2 goals, Mafla’s ability to find space and create scoring opportunities could prove decisive.
    • N. Bustos: Contributing 1 goal and 2 assists, his playmaking could unlock America’s defense if given the opportunity.
    • E. Olivera: A reliable defender and occasional goal threat, his presence will be vital in maintaining Santa Fe’s defensive solidity.

Historical Encounters and Trends

Looking back on their 17 meetings, the rivalry remains fiercely balanced. America has secured five wins, Santa Fe six, and the remaining six have ended in draws. The average goals per fixture hover around 1.94, with a modest 35% of matches seeing both teams score.

Recent clashes continue this pattern of tight contests: Santa Fe edged out America 2-1 last August, while America responded with a 2-0 victory earlier this year. Another notable result was a goalless draw in November, highlighting how closely contested their encounters tend to be.

This history suggests that expecting goals will require some confidence but also acknowledgment that defenses often lead the dance in this rivalry.

Financial Insights: Betting Markets and Value Opportunities

Bookmakers have set the odds reflecting America’s home advantage. The home win stands at around 1.5, with a roughly 48% implied probability. Santa Fe’s away victory is priced at about 2.45, translating to a 29.2% implied chance. The draw, at 3.1, implies just over a 23% chance.

Double Chance markets show a slight lean towards a safer bet with 1X (home or draw) at odds of 1.25, but value may be spotted elsewhere. The Asian Handicap offers some interesting angles: backing America at -0.5 is offered at 2.1, indicating a belief in their ability to secure victory but with enough room to consider safer options.

Over/Under markets for 2.5 goals are currently favored towards under, with a 58% confidence level, reflecting the defensive strengths and historical trend of lower-scoring matches between these sides. BTTS markets show a 52% chance of no both teams scoring, aligning with their recent defensive resilience.

Forecasting the Final Outcome: A Tactical Dilemma

Considering the statistical evidence and tactical tendencies, the most probable outcome leans towards America de Cali clinching a narrow win, likely 1-0 or 1-1, with a slight preference for the under 2.5 goals market. The cautious nature of both teams' defenses and their recent match patterns supports this scenario.

My confidence level for a home win is around 45%, bolstered by their home record and Santa Fe’s slightly more conservative recent results. The likelihood of both teams not scoring is marginally over 50%, reinforced by the defensive records and historical patterns.

Given the data, a safe yet strategic approach would be betting on a low-scoring affair with a home win or a draw, but for those seeking value, the under 2.5 goals with a modest stake aligns best with the analytical profile of this fixture.

Best Bets Summary

  • Home Win (America de Cali): Odds around 1.5 – a solid pick considering their home advantage and head-to-head history.
  • Under 2.5 Goals: Odds near 1.58 – reflecting the defensive tendencies and historical low-scoring outcomes.
  • No Both Teams to Score: Slightly better value at odds of 2.0, given the defensive resilience displayed by both sides lately.
  • Double Chance (1X): At 1.25, offers security if you are cautious but want exposure to a positive outcome for America.

Final Thoughts: A Tactically Tense Encounter

As the whistle approaches, expect an intense battle in Cali—where tactical discipline and individual moments of brilliance could decide the outcome. America’s home advantage provides a slight edge, but Santa Fe’s recent form and defensive solidity keep them in the contest. Be prepared for a contest where patience, positional play, and set-pieces could be the key differentiators in a match that promises to be as consequential as it is tightly contested.

Aanvullende informatie

América de CaliAmérica de Cali

Top scorers

Y. Guzmán
Y. GuzmánAanvaller
2Goals
T. Palacios
T. PalaciosMiddenvelder
1Goals
M. Castillo
M. CastilloVerdediger
1Goals
D. Borrero
D. BorreroMiddenvelder
1Goals
Joel Romero
Joel RomeroMiddenvelder
1Goals

Assists

T. Palacios
T. PalaciosMiddenvelder
1Assists
O. Bertel
O. BertelVerdediger
1Assists
R. Carrascal
R. CarrascalMiddenvelder
1Assists
K. Angulo
K. AnguloAanvaller
1Assists

Kaarten

R. Carrascal
R. CarrascalMiddenvelder
20
N. Hernández
N. HernándezVerdediger
11
Y. Garcés
Y. GarcésAanvaller
20
J. Escobar
J. EscobarMiddenvelder
20
T. Palacios
T. PalaciosMiddenvelder
10
Independiente Santa FeIndependiente Santa Fe

Top scorers

C. Mafla
C. MaflaVerdediger
2Goals
N. Bustos
N. BustosAanvaller
1Goals
E. Olivera
E. OliveraVerdediger
1Goals
F. Fagúndez
F. FagúndezAanvaller
1Goals
E. Mosquera
E. MosqueraMiddenvelder
1Goals

Assists

N. Bustos
N. BustosAanvaller
2Assists
A. Zapata
A. ZapataMiddenvelder
1Assists
V. Moreno
V. MorenoVerdediger
1Assists

Kaarten

C. Mafla
C. MaflaVerdediger
20
E. Mosquera
E. MosqueraMiddenvelder
20
V. Moreno
V. MorenoVerdediger
20
E. Olivera
E. OliveraVerdediger
10
F. Fagúndez
F. FagúndezAanvaller
10

Gedetailleerde Vorm & Recente Wedstrijden

América de Cali
DLWWL
10Gespeeld
5Overwinningen
2Gelijkspelen
3Verliezingen
Punten/Wedstrijd1.7
Winst %50%
Goals/Wedstrijd2.4
Gem. Goals1.5
Gem. Conceded0.9
Beide Scoren50%
Schone sheets40%
Niet gescoord10%

Recente Wedstrijden

15 mrtDvs Deportes Tolima1-1
10 mrtLbij Deportivo Pasto0-2
28 febWbij Alianza Valledupar3-0
23 febWvs Jaguares3-0
19 febLbij Junior1-2
Independiente Santa Fe
DLWLL
10Gespeeld
2Overwinningen
2Gelijkspelen
6Verliezingen
Punten/Wedstrijd0.8
Winst %20%
Goals/Wedstrijd1.9
Gem. Goals0.7
Gem. Conceded1.2
Beide Scoren50%
Schone sheets20%
Niet gescoord40%

Recente Wedstrijden

15 mrtDvs Alianza Valledupar1-1
26 febLvs Atlético Nacional1-2
22 febWvs Junior2-1
17 febLbij Jaguares1-3
14 febLbij América de Cali0-1

Onderlinge Resultaten

Wedstrijdstatistieken

MaatstafWaarde
Totaal Wedstrijden18
Gemiddeld Goals1.89
Beide Scoren33%
Meer dan 2.5 Goals28%
Meer dan 1.5 Goals72%

Goals per Team

TeamTotaalGemiddeld
América de Cali181 per spel
Independiente Santa Fe160.89 per spel

Schone sheets

TeamSchone sheets
América de Cali8 (44%)
Independiente Santa Fe7 (39%)
14 feb 2026Primera AAmérica de Cali1-0Independiente Santa Fe
3 aug 2025Primera AIndependiente Santa Fe2-1América de Cali
15 feb 2025Primera AAmérica de Cali2-0Independiente Santa Fe
12 nov 2024Primera AAmérica de Cali0-0Independiente Santa Fe
21 apr 2024Primera AIndependiente Santa Fe1-0América de Cali
27 aug 2023Primera AAmérica de Cali2-0Independiente Santa Fe
15 mrt 2023Primera AIndependiente Santa Fe2-0América de Cali
3 aug 2022Primera AIndependiente Santa Fe1-1América de Cali
8 feb 2022Primera AAmérica de Cali2-2Independiente Santa Fe
30 aug 2021Primera AIndependiente Santa Fe1-1América de Cali
19 feb 2021Primera AAmérica de Cali0-0Independiente Santa Fe
27 dec 2020Primera AIndependiente Santa Fe2-0América de Cali
20 dec 2020Primera AAmérica de Cali3-0Independiente Santa Fe
22 feb 2020Primera AIndependiente Santa Fe2-0América de Cali
29 nov 2019Primera AAmérica de Cali2-0Independiente Santa Fe
9 nov 2019Primera AIndependiente Santa Fe2-1América de Cali
23 aug 2019Primera AIndependiente Santa Fe1-2América de Cali
28 feb 2019Primera AAmérica de Cali0-0Independiente Santa Fe