GermanyDuitsland
BundesligaBundesliga
Ronde 22

Bayer Leverkusen vs FC St. Pauli Voorspelling en Wedtips

14 feb 2026
4-0
Einde
FC St. Pauli

FC St. Pauli

16.24 pnt
BayArena, Leverkusen
Correct
Onze keuze
Resultaat
Thuiswinst
@ 1.38
4 : 0
FT

Wedtips

64%
21%
15%
Bayer LeverkusenGelijkspelFC St. Pauli
Totaal doelpunten
Over 2.5
@ 1.85
52%
Beide scoren
Nee
@ 1.83
51%
Dubbele kans
Thuis/Gelijkspel
@ 1.12
42%
Asian handicap
H. Thuis -1.25
@ 2.10
48%
Eerste Helft
Thuiswinst
@ 1.91
45%
HT/FT
Thuis/Thuis
@ 2.10
47.6%
Exacte score
3:0
@ 9.00
11.1%

Aanvullende markten

Totaal hoekschoppen
Under 9.5
@ 1.80
51.5%
Doelpuntenmaker op elk moment
Patrik Schick
45.5%@ 2.20
Christian Kofane
38.5%@ 2.60
Martin Terrier
36.4%@ 2.75
Eliesse Ben Seghir
30.8%@ 3.25
Montrell Culbreath
30.8%@ 3.25
Nathan Tella
30.8%@ 3.25
Odds elk uur bijgewerkt
Voorspellingen opnieuw berekend elke 2 uur
Gespiegeld 2 uur voor de aftrap

Expertanalyse

Hans Weber
Hans Weber Duits Voetbalspecialist
75.9% 14+ jaren
5 min lezen

BayArena Roars Again: Leverkusen Looks to Assert Home Dominance Against St. Pauli The vibrant atmosphere at the BayArena is always electric, but especially so on a mid-February Saturday afternoon. Leverkusen, nestled in the heart of the Bundesliga, i...

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Wedstrijdgegevens

Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen heeft alle 4 penalties dit seizoen gescoord
Bayer Leverkusen scoort 60% van hun doelpunten in de eerste helft
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli heeft alle 4 penalties dit seizoen gescoord
FC St. Pauli heeft slechts 2 van de 13 uitwedstrijden gewonnen
FC St. Pauli heeft in 10 van de 25 wedstrijden niet gescoord (40%)

Belangrijke Statistieken

Bayer Leverkusen6
1Gelijkspelen
0FC St. Pauli
2.71Gem. Goals
57%Beide Scoren
71%Plus 2.5
14 feb 2026Bayer Leverkusen4-0FC St. Pauli
3 feb 2026Bayer Leverkusen3-0FC St. Pauli
27 sep 2025FC St. Pauli1-2Bayer Leverkusen
20 apr 2025FC St. Pauli1-1Bayer Leverkusen
7 dec 2024Bayer Leverkusen2-1FC St. Pauli
Bekijk alle onderlinge wedstrijden

Kansen

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet1.154.004.75
188Bet1.534.306.50
1xBet1.584.366.60

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Hans Weber
Hans Weber
Duits Voetbalspecialist
75.9% Nauwkeurigheid
14+ Jaren ervaring
2.6k Voorspellingen

BayArena Roars Again: Leverkusen Looks to Assert Home Dominance Against St. Pauli

The vibrant atmosphere at the BayArena is always electric, but especially so on a mid-February Saturday afternoon. Leverkusen, nestled in the heart of the Bundesliga, is famous for its passionate supporters and modern, pulsating ambiance that fuels the home team’s ambitions. With the sun casting long shadows over the pitch, the undercurrents of tactical battles and intense rivalry spark anticipation among fans and analysts alike. Today, Leverkusen aims to continue their positive momentum, while St. Pauli arrives seeking redemption after a tumultuous spell.

Deciphering the Current Scenario: A Tale of Two Fortunes

Leverkusen’s recent form paints a decisive picture of a side riding high on confidence. Their last five matches showcase a streak of four wins and a solitary draw, with only three defeats in their league campaign so far. Notably, they’ve averaged a respectable 1.7 goals per game, paired with a solid defensive record of conceding just once per match. Their attacking prowess is evident, spearheaded by P. Schick’s six goals and Álex Grimaldo’s five goals and five assists, making them a balanced outfit capable of both creating and finishing scoring opportunities.

In stark contrast, St. Pauli’s journey has been a rollercoaster of mixed results. Only two wins from their last ten fixtures reflect ongoing struggles—though their penchant for BTTS (70%) indicates they’re involved in many goal-laden encounters. They concede an average of 1.4 goals per game, but their attack, with 1 goal per match, has lacked the consistency needed to ignite their season’s rescue. Sitting 17th, they desperately need points here to climb out of the relegation zone, but their recent form suggests a tough challenge against a motivated Leverkusen side.

Strategic Outlook: Formations and Tactical Expectations

Leverkusen predominantly deploy their familiar 3-4-2-1 formation, emphasizing width from their wing-backs and fluidity in attack. Their recent matches show an emphasis on possession and quick transitions, exploiting space on the flanks. Expect them to push high, press aggressively, and look for creative links between Schick’s movement and Grimaldo’s deliveries.

St. Pauli, lining up in a 3-4-1-2, typically adopts a disciplined but dynamic approach. Their midfield will look to counter Leverkusen’s build-up, aiming to hit on the break and exploit any defensive lapses. Their overlapping full-backs might offer opportunities, but questions remain about their defensive solidity—especially against a team with sharp shooters like Schick and Poku.

Key Players Who Can Swing the Balance

  • P. Schick (Leverkusen): The striker’s goal-scoring touch and movement in the box make him a constant threat. His ability to create space could be pivotal against St. Pauli’s defense.
  • Álex Grimaldo (Leverkusen): As a creative left wing-back, his free kicks and precise crosses will be critical in unlocking the visitors’ backline.
  • E. Poku (Leverkusen): His versatility and quick bursts of pace can destabilize defenses, especially in tight spaces.
  • A. Hountondji (St. Pauli): The towering defender’s aerial strength on set-pieces might be their best hope for scoring, especially given their low goal tally.
  • D. Sinani (St. Pauli): His experience and knack for finding pockets of space could threaten Leverkusen’s midfield structure.
  • M. Kaars (St. Pauli): An energetic forward capable of exploiting defensive lapses, he’ll be vital for St. Pauli’s counterattack plans.

Blood and Battle: Head-to-Head Patterns

Looking at recent history, Leverkusen holds the edge convincingly, winning five of the last six meetings against St. Pauli. Their dominance is reflected not only in results but also in scoring patterns—averaging 2.5 goals per game in head-to-heads, with a striking 67% BTTS rate. The last encounter, a 3-0 home victory for Leverkusen on February 3, underscores their ability to impose authority, especially at the BayArena. While St. Pauli managed a narrow 2-1 win at the league’s start last season, the overall trend favors the home side, who seem to thrive in this fixture’s environment.

Financials and Forecasts: Betting Markets Under the Microscope

The bookmakers’ odds reflect a clear expectation—a comfortable home win, with Bayer Leverkusen priced at an incredibly low 1.15 for victory. The implied probability here exceeds 65%, indicating significant confidence in a Leverkusen triumph. Conversely, the draw is set at 4 (approx. 19%), and St. Pauli’s odds stand at 5, reflecting a 15% chance.

Double chance markets favor Leverkusen or draw (1X) at 1.11, affirming their favoritism. Asian handicaps give the home side a -1 margin at 1.75, suggesting a belief they’ll secure a victory by at least a one-goal margin. The over 2.5 goals market, priced around 1.8 with a 52% implied probability, hints at some expectation of goals, though St. Pauli’s defensive fragility might provide additional value here.

Insights and Personal Predictions

Taking into account recent form, head-to-head dominance, and tactical setups, Leverkusen’s home advantage appears decisive. Their attacking core, combined with a disciplined midfield and solid back line, makes them favorites to secure a win. The key question is the margin of victory—the odds favoring a 1:0 or 2:0 result suggest a cautious approach but with scoring potential.

Given the data, I lean towards a **Leverkusen win (1)** with a **high confidence level of around 66%**. The potential for goals over 2.5 is plausible, but less assured—probably standing at around 52%. A pragmatic bet would be to back Leverkusen to win and for the game to produce at least three goals, considering their attacking prowess and the BTTS trend from head-to-heads.

Best Bets Summary

  • Leverkusen to win (1): Value based on odds and form, with high confidence due to home advantage.
  • Over 2.5 Goals: Slightly less certain but supported by stats indicating goal involvement from both sides.
  • Both Teams to Not Score (No BTTS): Reasonable given St. Pauli’s defensive record and the recent clean sheets by Leverkusen.

In essence, this fixture should reaffirm Bayer Leverkusen’s rising trajectory, while St. Pauli’s struggles continue to test their resilience. Expect an engaging clash in the BayArena, where home pressure and tactical discipline could tilt the scales in favor of the hosts—possibly with a narrow, goal-rich victory.

Aanvullende informatie

Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen

Top scorers

P. Schick
P. SchickAanvaller
6Goals
Álex Grimaldo
Álex GrimaldoMiddenvelder
5Goals
E. Poku
E. PokuAanvaller
4Goals
M. Tillman
M. TillmanMiddenvelder
4Goals
E. Tapsoba
E. TapsobaVerdediger
3Goals

Assists

Álex Grimaldo
Álex GrimaldoMiddenvelder
5Assists
Aleix García
Aleix GarcíaMiddenvelder
4Assists
E. Poku
E. PokuAanvaller
3Assists
Arthur
ArthurMiddenvelder
3Assists
P. Schick
P. SchickAanvaller
2Assists

Kaarten

J. Quansah
J. QuansahVerdediger
60
L. Badé
L. BadéVerdediger
50
Álex Grimaldo
Álex GrimaldoMiddenvelder
40
E. Tapsoba
E. TapsobaVerdediger
30
Christian Kofane
Christian KofaneAanvaller
30
FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli

Top scorers

A. Hountondji
A. HountondjiAanvaller
4Goals
D. Sinani
D. SinaniAanvaller
3Goals
M. Kaars
M. KaarsAanvaller
3Goals
E. Smith
E. SmithVerdediger
2Goals
R. Jones
R. JonesAanvaller
2Goals

Assists

J. Fujita
J. FujitaMiddenvelder
3Assists
D. Sinani
D. SinaniAanvaller
2Assists
E. Smith
E. SmithVerdediger
2Assists
Mathias Pereira Lage
Mathias Pereira LageAanvaller
2Assists
A. Dźwigała
A. DźwigałaVerdediger
1Assists

Kaarten

A. Dźwigała
A. DźwigałaVerdediger
50
E. Smith
E. SmithVerdediger
31
J. Sands
J. SandsMiddenvelder
40
J. Fujita
J. FujitaMiddenvelder
30
A. Pyrka
A. PyrkaMiddenvelder
30

Gedetailleerde Vorm & Recente Wedstrijden

Bayer Leverkusen
DDDWD
10Gespeeld
3Overwinningen
6Gelijkspelen
1Verliezingen
Punten/Wedstrijd1.5
Winst %30%
Goals/Wedstrijd2.2
Gem. Goals1.4
Gem. Conceded0.8
Beide Scoren50%
Schone sheets40%
Niet gescoord20%

Recente Wedstrijden

14 mrtDvs Bayern München1-1
11 mrtDvs Arsenal1-1
7 mrtDbij SC Freiburg3-3
4 mrtWbij Hamburger SV1-0
28 febDvs FSV Mainz 051-1
FC St. Pauli
LDWWL
10Gespeeld
3Overwinningen
3Gelijkspelen
4Verliezingen
Punten/Wedstrijd1.2
Winst %30%
Goals/Wedstrijd2.1
Gem. Goals0.7
Gem. Conceded1.4
Beide Scoren40%
Schone sheets30%
Niet gescoord50%

Recente Wedstrijden

13 mrtLbij Borussia Mönchengladbach0-2
8 mrtDvs Eintracht Frankfurt0-0
28 febWbij 1899 Hoffenheim1-0
22 febWvs Werder Bremen2-1
14 febLbij Bayer Leverkusen0-4

Onderlinge Resultaten

Wedstrijdstatistieken

MaatstafWaarde
Totaal Wedstrijden7
Gemiddeld Goals2.71
Beide Scoren57%
Meer dan 2.5 Goals71%
Meer dan 1.5 Goals86%

Goals per Team

TeamTotaalGemiddeld
Bayer Leverkusen152.14 per spel
FC St. Pauli40.57 per spel

Schone sheets

TeamSchone sheets
Bayer Leverkusen3 (43%)
FC St. Pauli0 (0%)
14 feb 2026BundesligaBayer Leverkusen4-0FC St. Pauli
3 feb 2026DFB PokalBayer Leverkusen3-0FC St. Pauli
27 sep 2025BundesligaFC St. Pauli1-2Bayer Leverkusen
20 apr 2025BundesligaFC St. Pauli1-1Bayer Leverkusen
7 dec 2024BundesligaBayer Leverkusen2-1FC St. Pauli
10 apr 2011BundesligaBayer Leverkusen2-1FC St. Pauli
13 nov 2010BundesligaFC St. Pauli0-1Bayer Leverkusen