BulgariaBulgarije
First LeagueEerste Liga
Ronde 21

CSKA 1948 vs CSKA Sofia Voorspelling en Wedtips

CSKA 1948

CSKA 1948

3.50 pnt
14 feb 2026
0-2
Einde
CSKA Sofia

CSKA Sofia

4.46 pnt
Bistritsa Stadium, Bistritsa
Correct
Onze keuze
Asian handicap
H. Uit -0.25
@ 1.44
0 : 2
FT

Wedtips

32%
28%
40%
CSKA 1948GelijkspelCSKA Sofia
Resultaat
Uitwinst
@ 2.11
40%
Beide scoren
Ja
@ 1.83
51%
Dubbele kans
Thuis/Uit
@ 1.33
35%
Asian handicap
H. Uit -0.25
@ 1.44
69%
Eerste Helft
Gelijkspel
@ 1.93
44%
HT/FT
Gelijkspel/Uit
@ 5.20
19.2%

Aanvullende markten

Totaal hoekschoppen
Under 9.5
@ 1.76
52.6%
Doelpuntenmaker op elk moment
Leandro Godoy
38.5%@ 2.60
Ioannis Pittas
36.4%@ 2.75
Mamadou Diallo
33.3%@ 3.00
Brian Sobrero
32.3%@ 3.10
Atanas Iliev
29.4%@ 3.40
Ognjen Gasevic
29.4%@ 3.40
Odds elk uur bijgewerkt
Voorspellingen opnieuw berekend elke 2 uur
Gespiegeld 2 uur voor de aftrap

Expertanalyse

David Coleman
David Coleman Senior Voetbalanalist
75% 20+ jaren
7 min lezen

The Atmosphere at Bistritsa: A Battle for Pride and Position Under the bright winter sun at Bistritsa Stadium, the air is thick with anticipation as fans from Sofia and beyond gather for what promises to be an intense First League clash. The historic...

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Wedstrijdgegevens

CSKA 1948
CSKA 1948 heeft alle 3 penalties dit seizoen gescoord
CSKA Sofia
CSKA Sofia incasseert 37% van de doelpunten na de 75e minuut (7 goals)
CSKA Sofia heeft alle 4 penalties dit seizoen gescoord
CSKA Sofia heeft 3 rode kaarten ontvangen in 25 wedstrijden dit seizoen

Belangrijke Statistieken

CSKA 19483
3Gelijkspelen
10CSKA Sofia
2.5Gem. Goals
44%Beide Scoren
38%Plus 2.5
14 feb 2026CSKA 19480-2CSKA Sofia
10 feb 2026CSKA Sofia2-0CSKA 1948
24 aug 2025CSKA Sofia0-1CSKA 1948
7 dec 2024CSKA Sofia2-2CSKA 1948
7 nov 2024CSKA 19481-3CSKA Sofia
Bekijk alle onderlinge wedstrijden

Kansen

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet2.153.001.62
188Bet2.733.202.27
1xBet3.063.042.40

Volledige analyse

David Coleman
David Coleman
Senior Voetbalanalist
75% Nauwkeurigheid
20+ Jaren ervaring
5.5k Voorspellingen

The Atmosphere at Bistritsa: A Battle for Pride and Position

Under the bright winter sun at Bistritsa Stadium, the air is thick with anticipation as fans from Sofia and beyond gather for what promises to be an intense First League clash. The historic setting, nestled in the lush outskirts of Sofia, provides a unique backdrop where local fervor meets league ambitions. Home advantage here isn't just about familiarity with the pitch—it's a psychological boost that can sway the momentum, especially when arch-rivals meet in the Bulgarian capital’s picturesque surroundings. As the players step out onto the lush turf, the atmosphere is charged with a mixture of rivalry, ambition, and the desire to take a step closer to the league summit.

Context and Significance: More Than Just Three Points

This fixture between CSKA 1948 and CSKA Sofia may seem like a standard league encounter, but it carries deeper implications. For CSKA 1948, sitting comfortably in second place with ambitions of clinching a top-tier finish, a victory would cement their position as serious contenders, especially against a traditional powerhouse. Conversely, CSKA Sofia, currently fifth and eager to close the gap at the top, see this as an opportunity to reassert their dominance in the capital and perhaps get some bragging rights in a fixture historically dominated by their rivals. The recent results and league standings paint a picture of a close-knit race—particularly when just a few points separate the sides—making this match a potential turning point in the season’s narrative.

Momentum in the League: A Tale of Two Forms

CSKA 1948's Recent Run

From their last five outings, CSKA 1948 has demonstrated resilience, with a pattern of alternating wins and narrow defeats—playing out as LWDWW. Their attack has shown signs of consistency, averaging 1.1 goals per game, while their defense concedes slightly more at 1.2, indicating a team that’s resilient but occasionally vulnerable. Notably, their clean sheet rate stands at 30%, and they’ve kept their net intact in only a third of their recent fixtures. Their recent form suggests a team capable of grinding results but perhaps lacking the firepower to decisively turn games in their favor.

CSKA Sofia's Prevailing Edge

The Blue Lions come into this with a winning mentality, having secured four wins out of their last five matches, with only one draw. Their offensive productivity is notably higher, with an average of 1.7 goals per game, and their defensive record isn't far behind at 1.0 conceded per match. Despite a slightly lower clean sheet rate (20%), their ability to find the net more frequently gives them an edge in open play. Their recent form indicates confidence and a balanced approach—factors that could tip the scales in a tightly contested fixture.

Strategic Outlook: Tactical Blueprints and Expected Approaches

Given the formations typical for both sides, we can anticipate CSKA Sofia adopting an aggressive 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-3 setup, aiming to press high and utilize their top scorer S. Godoy upfront, supported by J. Eto'o’s creative influence. Their emphasis on attacking transitions suggests they will seek to exploit spaces behind the CSKA 1948 backline.

In contrast, CSKA 1948 might opt for a more cautious 4-2-3-1, with an emphasis on disciplined midfield organization and quick counterattacks. Their defensive stability hinges on breaking down Sofia's rhythm and utilizing their more physical midfielders to disrupt build-up play. Expect both teams to prioritize midfield battles, with the first goal potentially being decisive in how the match unfolds.

Key Figures Who Could Pivot the Outcome

Potential Match-Winners for CSKA 1948

  • M. Diallo: The team's top scorer with 3 goals, his movement and finishing will be vital in breaking down Sofia's defense.
  • B. Sobrero: His versatility, with 1 goal and 1 assist, makes him a creative outlet — capable of unlocking tight defenses.
  • A. Iliev: A steady presence in midfield, whose ability to dictate play could be the difference in controlling the tempo.

Stars to Watch for CSKA Sofia

  • S. Godoy: The leading scorer with 6 goals, his ability to find space and finish clinically makes him the primary goal threat.
  • J. Eto'o: Not just a goalscorer but also the creative catalyst with 3 assists, his link-up play could be decisive.
  • I. Pittas: A reliable presence in attack, whose mobility and tactical awareness can exploit defensive lapses.

Historical Patterns and Rivalry Trends

Looking back over their last 15 meetings, CSKA Sofia has dominated with 9 victories, compared to CSKA 1948’s 3, with 3 draws. Goals per game hover around 2.5, and just under half of these matches featured both sides scoring (47%). Recent meetings have been carefully contested, with a mix of tight wins and occasional high-scoring draws.

The last few encounters hint at a pattern: Sofia often edges out their rivals, but CSKA 1948 isn’t without hope, having snatched victories in their recent trips to Sofia, including a 2-1 triumph in August 2025. The home side’s familiarity with Bistritsa could be a factor in reversing some of these trends, but the historical dominance and recent form favor Sofia slightly.

Betting Market Breakdown: Odds, Probabilities, and Value Hunt

Bookmakers currently list CSKA Sofia as slight favorites at 1.75, implying a 56.5% chance of victory, while CSKA 1948 is pegged at 1.95 (about 51%). The draw stands at 2.88, with an implied probability of 34.7%. These margins suggest a close contest, but there’s room to explore value.

Double chance markets offer safer options, with 1X at 1.44 (69.4%) and 12 at 1.36 (73.5%). Notably, the Asian Handicap markets show that betting on CSKA Sofia -1.25 at around 1.09 might be risky given the recent head-to-head closeness, but the -1 handicap at 1.11 could be attractive if Sofia starts strong.

Under 2.5 goals is priced at around 1.80, with a confidence level of about 56%. Considering both teams’ defensive stats and recent low-scoring matches, this market appears favorable. Both Teams to Score is roughly a 51% proposition, aligning with the data that BTTS occurred in nearly half of their recent outings.

Personalized Predictions and Strategic Bets

Based on the analysis, our confidence points toward a game that remains tightly contested, with both teams capable of scoring but mindful of defensive vulnerabilities. The likelihood of under 2.5 goals, supported by a 56% confidence level, suggests prudence in betting for a lower-scoring affair.

We assign a 37% confidence to a CSKA Sofia victory, given their slightly superior form, recent head-to-head dominance, and home advantage. However, an upset or a draw cannot be discounted, especially considering the competitive nature of this fixture and the balanced attack-defense ratios.

The most compelling bet appears to be backing under 2.5 goals, as it aligns with current team stats and historical patterns, combined with the odds offering value over the implied probability.

Final Word: Tight, Tactical, and Potentially Decisive

This clash is poised on a knife-edge, with both sides showcasing solid seasons and motivation high. Expect a robust tactical battle with moments of brilliance from star players, but likely a game where errors could be punished—making the under 2.5 goals a logical choice. Sofia’s slight edge, buoyed by recent form and historical success at home, makes them favorites, but CSKA 1948’s resilience ensures this fixture remains unpredictable until the final whistle.

Summary of Best Bets:

  • Under 2.5 Goals — Value play supported by team stats and historical scoring patterns
  • CSKA Sofia Win — Slightly favored, but with limited confidence, given recent close contests
  • Both Teams to Score Yes — Reasonable with a 51% chance based on BTTS stats

This fixture promises a fierce contest, where tactical discipline and individual brilliance could shape the outcome. Fans and bettors alike should expect a closely fought battle that could go either way, but the data tilts subtly in favor of a low-scoring Sofia victory.

Aanvullende informatie

CSKA 1948CSKA 1948

Top scorers

M. Diallo
M. DialloAanvaller
3Goals
B. Sobrero
B. SobreroMiddenvelder
1Goals
A. Iliev
A. IlievAanvaller
1Goals
B. Tsonev
B. TsonevMiddenvelder
1Goals
E. Tsenov
E. TsenovVerdediger
1Goals

Assists

G. Rusev
G. RusevMiddenvelder
4Assists
B. Sobrero
B. SobreroMiddenvelder
1Assists
Frédéric Maciel
Frédéric MacielMiddenvelder
1Assists

Kaarten

M. Diallo
M. DialloAanvaller
50
G. Rusev
G. RusevMiddenvelder
40
Frédéric Maciel
Frédéric MacielMiddenvelder
40
E. Tsenov
E. TsenovVerdediger
30
B. Sobrero
B. SobreroMiddenvelder
20
CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia

Top scorers

S. Godoy
S. GodoyAanvaller
6Goals
J. Eto'o
J. Eto'oMiddenvelder
2Goals
I. Pittas
I. PittasAanvaller
2Goals
Bruno Jordão
Bruno JordãoMiddenvelder
1Goals
O. Skarsem
O. SkarsemMiddenvelder
1Goals

Assists

J. Eto'o
J. Eto'oMiddenvelder
3Assists
Pastor
PastorVerdediger
1Assists
M. Brahimi
M. BrahimiMiddenvelder
1Assists
I. Tasev
I. TasevMiddenvelder
1Assists

Kaarten

Bruno Jordão
Bruno JordãoMiddenvelder
70
Adrián Lapeña
Adrián LapeñaMiddenvelder
50
J. Eto'o
J. Eto'oMiddenvelder
40
Á. Martino
Á. MartinoVerdediger
40
O. Skarsem
O. SkarsemMiddenvelder
30

Gedetailleerde Vorm & Recente Wedstrijden

CSKA 1948
WDWWL
10Gespeeld
5Overwinningen
2Gelijkspelen
3Verliezingen
Punten/Wedstrijd1.7
Winst %50%
Goals/Wedstrijd2.4
Gem. Goals1.5
Gem. Conceded0.9
Beide Scoren30%
Schone sheets50%
Niet gescoord40%

Recente Wedstrijden

14 mrtWbij Spartak Varna2-1
8 mrtDvs Botev Plovdiv0-0
5 mrtWbij Lokomotiv Plovdiv5-0
27 febWbij Slavia Sofia2-0
22 febLvs Levski Sofia1-3
CSKA Sofia
LWWLW
10Gespeeld
7Overwinningen
0Gelijkspelen
3Verliezingen
Punten/Wedstrijd2.1
Winst %70%
Goals/Wedstrijd2.2
Gem. Goals1.3
Gem. Conceded0.9
Beide Scoren20%
Schone sheets50%
Niet gescoord30%

Recente Wedstrijden

14 mrtLbij Ludogorets0-3
8 mrtWvs Lokomotiv Sofia2-0
4 mrtWvs Botev Vratsa1-0
28 febLbij Septemvri Sofia0-2
21 febWvs Slavia Sofia1-0

Onderlinge Resultaten

Wedstrijdstatistieken

MaatstafWaarde
Totaal Wedstrijden16
Gemiddeld Goals2.5
Beide Scoren44%
Meer dan 2.5 Goals38%
Meer dan 1.5 Goals75%

Goals per Team

TeamTotaalGemiddeld
CSKA 1948140.88 per spel
CSKA Sofia261.63 per spel

Schone sheets

TeamSchone sheets
CSKA 19483 (19%)
CSKA Sofia6 (38%)
14 feb 2026Eerste LigaCSKA 19480-2CSKA Sofia
10 feb 2026Bulgaars BekerCSKA Sofia2-0CSKA 1948
24 aug 2025Eerste LigaCSKA Sofia0-1CSKA 1948
7 dec 2024Eerste LigaCSKA Sofia2-2CSKA 1948
7 nov 2024Eerste LigaCSKA 19481-3CSKA Sofia
31 mei 2024Eerste LigaCSKA Sofia0-2CSKA 1948
9 mrt 2024Eerste LigaCSKA 19481-2CSKA Sofia
17 sep 2023Eerste LigaCSKA Sofia2-0CSKA 1948
3 jun 2023Eerste LigaCSKA Sofia1-1CSKA 1948
12 mrt 2023Eerste LigaCSKA 19480-1CSKA Sofia
29 aug 2022Eerste LigaCSKA Sofia2-1CSKA 1948
8 nov 2021Eerste LigaCSKA Sofia1-0CSKA 1948
25 jul 2021Eerste LigaCSKA 19482-4CSKA Sofia
22 mei 2021Eerste LigaCSKA 19481-0CSKA Sofia
29 nov 2020Eerste LigaCSKA Sofia2-0CSKA 1948
7 aug 2020Eerste LigaCSKA 19482-2CSKA Sofia