GermanyDuitsland
BundesligaBundesliga
Ronde 21

FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Augsburg Voorspelling en Wedtips

FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05

13.27 pnt
7 feb 2026
2-0
Einde
FC Augsburg

FC Augsburg

10.31 pnt
Mewa Arena, Mainz
Incorrect
Onze keuze
Beide scoren
Ja
@ 1.71
2 : 0
FT

Wedtips

48%
25%
27%
FSV Mainz 05GelijkspelFC Augsburg
Resultaat
Thuiswinst
@ 1.79
48%
Totaal doelpunten
Over 2.5
@ 1.88
51%
Dubbele kans
Thuis/Gelijkspel
@ 1.29
37%
Asian handicap
H. Thuis -0.50
@ 1.97
51%
Eerste Helft
Gelijkspel
@ 2.10
41%
HT/FT
Gelijkspel/Thuis
@ 4.75
21.1%
Exacte score
2:1
@ 7.00
14.3%

Aanvullende markten

Totaal hoekschoppen
Over 9.5
@ 1.85
50.0%
Odds elk uur bijgewerkt
Voorspellingen opnieuw berekend elke 2 uur
Gespiegeld 2 uur voor de aftrap

Expertanalyse

Hans Weber
Hans Weber Duits Voetbalspecialist
75.9% 14+ jaren
7 min lezen

Revving Up at the Mewa Arena: Mainz's Battle for Survival Meets Augsburg's Mid-Table Push If recent history is anything to go by, Mainz versus Augsburg tends to deliver goals—and plenty of drama. The last ten head-to-heads have averaged a whopping 3 ...

Lees volledige analyse

Wedstrijdgegevens

FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05 heeft alle 7 penalties dit seizoen gescoord
FSV Mainz 05 heeft 5 rode kaarten ontvangen in 25 wedstrijden dit seizoen
FSV Mainz 05 incasseert 38% van de doelpunten na de 75e minuut (15 goals)
FSV Mainz 05 heeft slechts 2 van de 12 uitwedstrijden gewonnen
FSV Mainz 05 heeft in 9 van de 25 wedstrijden niet gescoord (36%)
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg heeft de laatste 3 competitiewedstrijden gewonnen
FC Augsburg heeft alle 3 penalties dit seizoen gescoord
FC Augsburg scoort 30% van hun doelpunten na de 75e minuut (10 goals)
FC Augsburg gemiddeld 2.7 gele kaarten per wedstrijd (67 in 25 wedstrijden)

Belangrijke Statistieken

FSV Mainz 057
1Gelijkspelen
3FC Augsburg
2.91Gem. Goals
64%Beide Scoren
64%Plus 2.5
7 feb 2026FSV Mainz 052-0FC Augsburg
20 sep 2025FC Augsburg1-4FSV Mainz 05
8 feb 2025FSV Mainz 050-0FC Augsburg
20 sep 2024FC Augsburg2-3FSV Mainz 05
17 feb 2024FSV Mainz 051-0FC Augsburg
Bekijk alle onderlinge wedstrijden

Kansen

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet1.453.502.55
188Bet2.063.603.60
1xBet2.093.683.76

Volledige analyse

Hans Weber
Hans Weber
Duits Voetbalspecialist
75.9% Nauwkeurigheid
14+ Jaren ervaring
2.6k Voorspellingen

Revving Up at the Mewa Arena: Mainz's Battle for Survival Meets Augsburg's Mid-Table Push

If recent history is anything to go by, Mainz versus Augsburg tends to deliver goals—and plenty of drama. The last ten head-to-heads have averaged a whopping 3 goals per game, with 70% of those matches seeing both teams find the net. As these two sides prepare to clash on Saturday afternoon, all eyes are on an encounter that could define the trajectory for both clubs—either as a step toward stability or a slide into deeper trouble.

Context and Significance: Mid-Season Crossroads with High Stakes

The Mewa Arena in Mainz isn't just a battleground; it’s a crossing point for both teams’ seasons. Mainz, currently languishing in 16th place with 18 points, is fighting to avoid slipping further into the relegation zone. Their recent form, streaking with 4 wins in the last ten games, comes with the caveat that their defense remains leaky, conceding an average of 1.1 goals per match. Meanwhile, Augsburg sits comfortably in 11th with 22 points but has struggled to build consistency, evidenced by their mixed results in recent weeks—achieving four wins but dropping points in three of their last ten games.

This fixture isn't just about bragging rights; it’s about survival and stability. Mainz desperately need to turn their home advantage into points, especially against an opponent who’s proven resilient. Augsburg, on the other hand, are aiming to consolidate their mid-table position, avoid mid-season stagnation, and build momentum heading into the decisive stretch. With both clubs adopting their tried-and-tested formations, the tactical nuances and individual battlefronts promise fireworks.

Momentum and Recent Trajectories

Mainz’s recent form—WWLWD—highlights a team that’s capable of grinding out results but still struggles with defensive lapses. Their attack has been fairly productive, averaging 1.5 goals in their last ten games, and they’ve shown resilience in games where they had to chase or defend a lead. Notably, their top scorer, N. Amiri, with 7 goals, remains a key threat, especially when exploiting spaces created by Lee Jae-Sung’s creative flair.

Augsburg’s pattern—WWDDL—reflects a side that’s tough to beat but can be inconsistent. Their attack, averaging just 1 goal in their last ten outings, has been underwhelming at times, but F. Rieder and M. Kömür remain dangerous on the counter and set pieces. Their defensive record, allowing 1.3 goals per game and securing 3 clean sheets in their last ten matches, shows a team that can tighten up but sometimes lacks consistency to keep opposition at bay.

Strategic Breakdown: Formations and Tactical Approach

Both teams tend to line up in a 3-4-2-1 formation, emphasizing midfield control and flexible wing play. Mainz’s approach generally revolves around quick transitions and exploiting the flanks, with S. Bell providing width and pace. Their attack is slightly more potent, with a focus on getting Amiri into goal-scoring positions—evidenced by his 7 goals. Defensively, Mainz’s recent lapses have cost them, but their home record provides hope they’ll tighten up this weekend.

Augsburg, meanwhile, look to impose control through disciplined midfield structure, using their wingers M. Kömür and D. Giannoulis to stretch the play. Their defensive shape, while sometimes shaky, can be resilient when they sit deep and counterattack—potentially targeting Mainz’s full-backs. Augsburg’s offensive output depends heavily on set pieces and quick counter moves, which could be dangerous if Mainz commits too many forward.

Players Who Could Decide the Outcome

  • For Mainz: N. Amiri—his scoring threat and creative spark make him essential. Expect him to be central in breaking defensive lines or finishing off counter-attack opportunities.
  • Lee Jae-Sung: The South Korean midfielder’s dual role in attack and transition offers unpredictability, and he’s vital for Mainz’s link-up play.
  • S. Bell: His pace on the flank can stretch Augsburg’s defense and create scoring chances from wide positions.
  • For Augsburg: F. Rieder, whose 3 goals and 2 assists demonstrate his importance in offensive set-ups, especially in tight matches.
  • M. Kömür: Playmaker with 3 assists; his ability to unlock defenses with precise passes can turn the game in Augsburg’s favor.
  • D. Giannoulis: His defensive solidity combined with offensive forays via set pieces can be a danger for Mainz.

Looking Back: Trends and Patterns in the Head-to-Head

Over the last decade, Mainz has enjoyed a slight edge in head-to-head encounters—winning 6 of the last 10 meetings, with only 3 going Augsburg’s way. The scorelines have often been high-scoring affairs, with goals shared among both sides in most fixtures. Notably, Mainz’s dominant 4-1 victory in September 2025 indicates they can, on their day, dismantle Augsburg—though the 0-0 stalemate from February 2025 underlines their capacity to cancel each other out.

Recent matches have favored Mainz, but Augsburg’s resilience and history of scoring in most encounters suggest this game will follow that trend—expect goals from both sides, especially given the statistical propensities of the last few matches.

Betting Market Insights: Values and Opportunities

Bookmakers currently price Mainz as strong favorites for victory at 1.5 odds, with an implied probability of 48.4%. Augsburg’s odds for an away win stand at 2.45 (29.6%), reflecting the potential for an upset, but also acknowledging Mainz’s slight edge.

The draw at 3.3 (22%) appears unlikely given the recent form and head-to-head history but remains a viable hedge. The Asian handicap markets, with Mainz at -0.5 (2.0) and Augsburg +0.5 (1.83), offer more nuanced options, especially considering Mainz’s home advantage and their recent offensive output.

Over/Under 2.5 goals are set at roughly 1.85 for over, with a 52% implied probability. Considering both teams’ goal-scoring tendencies and defensive frailties, betting on over 2.5 goals offers solid value.

Both teams to score is priced around 1.73, matching their historical BTTS rate—this remains a compelling bet, especially since recent clashes have shown they can both find the net.

Predictions: The Path to Victory and Key Factors

Given the data and recent form, I lean towards Mainz clinching a narrow but impactful victory—probably 2-1—especially considering their superior home record and attacking edge. Their offensive talents, notably Amiri’s goal threat and their creative midfield, will likely exploit Augsburg’s sometimes leaky defense.

Confidence in this prediction rests at around 60%, rooted in Mainz’s slightly better form, home advantage, and the ability to capitalize on Augsburg’s defensive vulnerabilities. The game is expected to be open, with both teams scoring—a 56% chance according to our odds analysis—and over 2.5 goals to land in around half of the cases.

From a betting perspective, the best value lies in backing Mainz to win combined with over 2.5 goals, especially since the odds align well with the game’s statistical profile. The typical pattern of high-scoring games between these sides supports a lively contest.

Final Verdict: Clearer Paths for Bettors

  • Primary Bet: Mainz to win at 1.5 (strong confidence)
  • Secondary Play: Over 2.5 goals at odds around 1.85—good value given the attacking stats and recent trends
  • Alternative Option: Both teams to score—yes at around 1.73—aligns with their recent goal-scoring habits and head-to-head history

While Augsburg’s resilience and potential to spoil the party shouldn’t be discounted, Mainz’s home advantage, offensive potency, and the statistical likelihood of goals make them the favorite to edge this encounter. Expect a match rich in attacking intent, with the possibility of a narrow Mainz victory and a lively, goal-filled spectacle at the Mewa Arena.

Aanvullende informatie

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Top scorers

N. Amiri
N. AmiriMiddenvelder
7Goals
Lee Jae-Sung
Lee Jae-SungAanvaller
2Goals
S. Bell
S. BellVerdediger
2Goals
S. Widmer
S. WidmerVerdediger
2Goals
A. Sieb
A. SiebAanvaller
2Goals

Assists

N. Amiri
N. AmiriMiddenvelder
2Assists
Lee Jae-Sung
Lee Jae-SungAanvaller
2Assists
B. Hollerbach
B. HollerbachAanvaller
2Assists
S. Bell
S. BellVerdediger
1Assists
D. da Costa
D. da CostaVerdediger
1Assists

Kaarten

D. Kohr
D. KohrVerdediger
61
N. Amiri
N. AmiriMiddenvelder
50
S. Bell
S. BellVerdediger
40
S. Widmer
S. WidmerVerdediger
40
P. Nebel
P. NebelAanvaller
22
FC AugsburgFC Augsburg

Top scorers

F. Rieder
F. RiederAanvaller
3Goals
M. Kömür
M. KömürAanvaller
2Goals
D. Giannoulis
D. GiannoulisMiddenvelder
2Goals
A. Claude-Maurice
A. Claude-MauriceMiddenvelder
2Goals
H. Massengo
H. MassengoMiddenvelder
2Goals

Assists

M. Kömür
M. KömürAanvaller
3Assists
D. Giannoulis
D. GiannoulisMiddenvelder
3Assists
F. Rieder
F. RiederAanvaller
2Assists
A. Claude-Maurice
A. Claude-MauriceMiddenvelder
2Assists
H. Massengo
H. MassengoMiddenvelder
1Assists

Kaarten

Noahkai Kai Daniel Banks
Noahkai Kai Daniel BanksVerdediger
60
D. Giannoulis
D. GiannoulisMiddenvelder
50
C. Matsima
C. MatsimaVerdediger
50
E. Rexhbeçaj
E. RexhbeçajMiddenvelder
40
K. Schlotterbeck
K. SchlotterbeckVerdediger
40

Gedetailleerde Vorm & Recente Wedstrijden

FSV Mainz 05
WDDDD
10Gespeeld
4Overwinningen
4Gelijkspelen
2Verliezingen
Punten/Wedstrijd1.6
Winst %40%
Goals/Wedstrijd2.6
Gem. Goals1.4
Gem. Conceded1.2
Beide Scoren60%
Schone sheets30%
Niet gescoord20%

Recente Wedstrijden

15 mrtWbij Werder Bremen2-0
12 mrtDbij Sigma Olomouc0-0
7 mrtDvs VfB Stuttgart2-2
28 febDbij Bayer Leverkusen1-1
20 febDvs Hamburger SV1-1
FC Augsburg
LLWWW
10Gespeeld
5Overwinningen
2Gelijkspelen
3Verliezingen
Punten/Wedstrijd1.7
Winst %50%
Goals/Wedstrijd2.7
Gem. Goals1.4
Gem. Conceded1.3
Beide Scoren60%
Schone sheets20%
Niet gescoord20%

Recente Wedstrijden

14 mrtLbij Borussia Dortmund0-2
7 mrtLbij RB Leipzig1-2
27 febWvs 1. FC Köln2-0
21 febWbij VfL Wolfsburg3-2
15 febWvs 1. FC Heidenheim1-0

Onderlinge Resultaten

Wedstrijdstatistieken

MaatstafWaarde
Totaal Wedstrijden11
Gemiddeld Goals2.91
Beide Scoren64%
Meer dan 2.5 Goals64%
Meer dan 1.5 Goals73%

Goals per Team

TeamTotaalGemiddeld
FSV Mainz 05211.91 per spel
FC Augsburg111 per spel

Schone sheets

TeamSchone sheets
FSV Mainz 053 (27%)
FC Augsburg2 (18%)
7 feb 2026BundesligaFSV Mainz 052-0FC Augsburg
20 sep 2025BundesligaFC Augsburg1-4FSV Mainz 05
8 feb 2025BundesligaFSV Mainz 050-0FC Augsburg
20 sep 2024BundesligaFC Augsburg2-3FSV Mainz 05
17 feb 2024BundesligaFSV Mainz 051-0FC Augsburg
23 sep 2023BundesligaFC Augsburg2-1FSV Mainz 05
11 feb 2023BundesligaFSV Mainz 053-1FC Augsburg
20 aug 2022BundesligaFC Augsburg1-2FSV Mainz 05
6 apr 2022BundesligaFC Augsburg2-1FSV Mainz 05
22 okt 2021BundesligaFSV Mainz 054-1FC Augsburg
28 feb 2021BundesligaFSV Mainz 050-1FC Augsburg