ItalyItalië
Serie ASerie A
Ronde 24

Genua vs Napoli Voorspelling en Wedtips

Genua

Genua

13.33 pnt
7 feb 2026
2-3
Einde
Napoli

Napoli

3.59 pnt
Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa
Correct
Onze keuze
Asian handicap
H. Uit -0.25
@ 1.25
2 : 3
FT

Wedtips

22%
28%
50%
GenuaGelijkspelNapoli
Resultaat
Uitwinst
@ 1.71
50%
Beide scoren
Nee
@ 1.61
59%
Dubbele kans
Gelijkspel/Uit
@ 1.21
39%
Asian handicap
H. Uit -0.25
@ 1.25
80%
Eerste Helft
Gelijkspel
@ 1.86
47%
HT/FT
Gelijkspel/Uit
@ 4.50
22.2%
Exacte score
0:1
@ 4.50
22.2%

Aanvullende markten

Totaal hoekschoppen
Under 9.5
@ 1.57
58.8%
Odds elk uur bijgewerkt
Voorspellingen opnieuw berekend elke 2 uur
Gespiegeld 2 uur voor de aftrap

Expertanalyse

Marco Rossetti
Marco Rossetti Italiaans Voetbalexpert
76.5% 15+ jaren
6 min lezen

Genoa vs Napoli: A Crucial Midseason Test at the Luigi Ferraris As the Serie A season reaches its midpoint, the spotlight turns to Genoa’s Stadio Luigi Ferraris, where Genoa aim to leverage home advantage against a formidable Napoli side. For both cl...

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Wedstrijdgegevens

Genua
Genua heeft alle 4 penalties dit seizoen gescoord
Genua heeft slechts 2 van de 13 uitwedstrijden gewonnen
Genua heeft 6 van de 15 thuiswedstrijden verloren (40%)
Genua heeft in 9 van de 28 wedstrijden niet gescoord (32%)
Napoli
Napoli heeft in elk van de laatste 7 wedstrijden gescoord
Napoli heeft in elk van de laatste 8 wedstrijden geïncasseerd
Napoli heeft alle 4 penalties dit seizoen gescoord
Napoli heeft in 10 van de laatste 15 wedstrijden in de eerste helft gescoord (67%)

Belangrijke Statistieken

Genua1
3Gelijkspelen
7Napoli
3.55Gem. Goals
82%Beide Scoren
91%Plus 2.5
7 feb 2026Genua2-3Napoli
5 okt 2025Napoli2-1Genua
11 mei 2025Napoli2-2Genua
21 dec 2024Genua1-2Napoli
17 feb 2024Napoli1-1Genua
Bekijk alle onderlinge wedstrijden

Kansen

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet2.903.051.36
188Bet4.403.102.03
1xBet4.623.182.06

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Marco Rossetti
Marco Rossetti
Italiaans Voetbalexpert
76.5% Nauwkeurigheid
15+ Jaren ervaring
2.8k Voorspellingen

Genoa vs Napoli: A Crucial Midseason Test at the Luigi Ferraris

As the Serie A season reaches its midpoint, the spotlight turns to Genoa’s Stadio Luigi Ferraris, where Genoa aim to leverage home advantage against a formidable Napoli side. For both clubs, this fixture carries weight beyond just three points: Genoa seek to tighten their grip on the lower half of the table amid a tricky run, while Napoli look to solidify their push into the upper echelons of Serie A’s elite. With contrasting ambitions and recent trajectories, this encounter could serve as a defining chapter in their seasons.

Context & Significance: More Than Just a League Clash

From Genoa’s perspective, survival and stability remain the name of the game. Sitting 14th with 23 points, Genoa’s recent form shows flashes of resilience—three wins in their last ten matches, coupled with a need to shore up their defensive record (conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game). The importance of this fixture is amplified by their need to capitalize on home soil and halt a slight dip in confidence.

Napoli, perched comfortably in third, are chasing a Champions League qualification spot and possibly more. With 46 points from 23 matches, they’re navigating a season of ups and downs—still capable of putting together dominant performances, but inconsistent enough to be vulnerable. Their recent form—just two wins in their last five—suggests they’re eager to rediscover rhythm and bolster their title challenge.

Momentum in Motion: Recent Form & Underlying Trends

  • Genoa: A mixed bag, but the recent pattern shows resilience with a W-L-D-W-D stretch. Offensively, they average 1.4 goals per game, which is modest yet capable of punishing lapses in defense. Their defensive record (20% clean sheet rate) indicates vulnerability, but also moments of defensive grit.
  • Napoli: Slightly more inconsistent, with four draws in their last ten matches. They maintain a solid goal-scoring record (averaging 1.4 goals per game), and their defensive solidity—conceding just over a goal per game (1.2)—has been a key factor in their high position. Their clean sheet rate of 40% underpins their defensive organization.

System & Tactical Preview: Who Holds the Tactical Edge?

Genoa’s preferred 3-5-2 formation emphasizes width and midfield control, often relying on their wing-backs and the partnership of their forwards to create chances. Their approach tends to be pragmatic, with a focus on counterattacks and set-piece efficiency. Given their goal-scoring averages and the presence of key attackers like L. Colombo and R. Malinovskyi, they’ll look to exploit Napoli’s sometimes high lines.

Napoli deploy a 4-1-4-1, emphasizing midfield control and quick transition. Their creative hub, S. McTominay and A. Zambo Anguissa, orchestrate play from deep while R. Højlund leads the line with physicality and clinical finishing. Napoli’s tactical stability and disciplined pressing could disrupt Genoa’s rhythm, especially if they maintain possession and press high.

Expect Napoli to dominate possession—around 55-60%—and look to exploit the flanks and through balls, while Genoa’s counterattacking potential hinges on quick transitions and set-piece opportunities.

Key Players to Watch: Impact Makers on Both Sides

  • Genoa:
    • L. Colombo (5 goals, 1 assist)
    • R. Malinovskyi (4 goals, 3 assists)
    • L. Østigård (4 goals, 1 assist)
  • Napoli:
    • R. Højlund (6 goals, 2 assists)
    • S. McTominay (5 goals, 3 assists)
    • A. Zambo Anguissa (4 goals, 1 assist)

Højlund’s physical presence and finishing ability make him Napoli’s primary goal threat. Meanwhile, Malinovskyi’s creative spark and Colombo’s sharpness could be decisive for Genoa. The midfield duel—particularly McTominay vs. Malinovskyi—may set the tone for the match’s tempo and flow.

History & Head-to-Head Patterns: Trends & Insights

The recent head-to-heads favor Napoli, with 6 wins in the last 10 meetings, including decisive victories like a 2-1 and a 2-2 draw. Goals have been prolific, averaging 3.4 per game, with a striking 80% of matches seeing both teams score. Interestingly, Genoa’s only recent win came in the 2024-25 season, a 1-0 victory, but such results remain rare.

Pattern recognition shows Napoli’s dominance in recent years, yet Genoa’s resilience at home—despite their lower league standing—should not be underestimated. Their home matches often feature competitive intensity, and they’ve demonstrated the ability to frustrate stronger opponents.

In-Depth Betting Breakdown: Odds, Probabilities & Value

Current bookmaker odds reflect Napoli’s favoritism: the 1X2 market likely favors Napoli around 1.80, with Genoa at approximately 4.50, and the draw around 3.60—implying a roughly 55% chance for Napoli, 28% for Genoa, and 17% for a tie.

Breaking down the Over/Under 2.5 goals market, odds hover around 1.60 for over and 2.30 for under, translating into an implied probability of roughly 62.5% for goals staying under—aligned with our confidence level of 63% for under 2.5. Given the recent defensive stability of Napoli and Genoa’s occasional goal droughts, the under bet holds appeal.

Both Teams to Score (BTTS) markets at around 1.75 suggest a 57% implied probability—slightly below our 56% confidence in BTTS no. With recent head-to-heads averaging 3.4 goals and high BTTS rates, a cautious lean toward 'No' in BTTS makes sense, especially considering Genoa’s inability to consistently produce at home against top-tier sides.

The Double Chance market (X2) at about 2.00 reflects the belief that Napoli are slightly more likely to avoid defeat, which aligns with their superior form and head-to-head dominance. However, with Genoa’s home resilience, this remains a sensible but not overly aggressive option.

Expert Predictions & Final Verdict

Analyzing all factors—form, tactical setups, head-to-head trends, and betting values—our confidence leans heavily towards a narrow Napoli victory or at least a draw, with a slight edge on the away side given their higher quality and league standing. The predicted result is a 2-0 or 2-1 win for Napoli, with the under 2.5 goals market offering a good value. Both teams scoring appears marginally less likely, considering Genoa’s recent strikes and defensive record.

Our most confident prediction: Napoli to win with under 2.5 goals, supported by a 63% confidence level. The best value lies in the Under 2.5 goals market, especially if Napoli’s defense continues to tighten and Genoa’s attack struggles to break through.

Summary of Key Bets

  • Match Result: Napoli win (around 1.80 odds)
  • Under 2.5 Goals: Yes (around 1.60 odds)
  • BTTS: No (around 1.75 odds)
  • Double Chance (X2): Napoli or Draw (around 2.00 odds)

With tactical discipline, key players stepping up, and statistical insights pointing towards a match of cautious approach, Napoli’s fresh momentum on the road should be enough to secure a valuable victory—though Genoa will be eager to carve out surprises in front of their passionate home crowd. Expect a tightly contested fixture, but one where Napoli’s quality edges them ahead in the final analysis.

Aanvullende informatie

GenuaGenua

Top scorers

L. Colombo
L. ColomboAanvaller
5Goals
R. Malinovskyi
R. MalinovskyiMiddenvelder
4Goals
L. Østigård
L. ØstigårdVerdediger
4Goals
Vítinha
VítinhaAanvaller
3Goals
C. Ekuban
C. EkubanAanvaller
2Goals

Assists

Aarón Martín
Aarón MartínVerdediger
4Assists
R. Malinovskyi
R. MalinovskyiMiddenvelder
3Assists
A. Marcandalli
A. MarcandalliVerdediger
2Assists
L. Colombo
L. ColomboAanvaller
1Assists
L. Østigård
L. ØstigårdVerdediger
1Assists

Kaarten

R. Malinovskyi
R. MalinovskyiMiddenvelder
80
L. Østigård
L. ØstigårdVerdediger
60
B. Norton-Cuffy
B. Norton-CuffyVerdediger
40
P. Masini
P. MasiniMiddenvelder
40
Vítinha
VítinhaAanvaller
30
NapoliNapoli

Top scorers

R. Højlund
R. HøjlundAanvaller
6Goals
S. McTominay
S. McTominayMiddenvelder
5Goals
A. Zambo Anguissa
A. Zambo AnguissaMiddenvelder
4Goals
K. De Bruyne
K. De BruyneMiddenvelder
4Goals
David Neres
David NeresAanvaller
3Goals

Assists

S. McTominay
S. McTominayMiddenvelder
3Assists
David Neres
David NeresAanvaller
3Assists
M. Politano
M. PolitanoMiddenvelder
3Assists
R. Højlund
R. HøjlundAanvaller
2Assists
L. Spinazzola
L. SpinazzolaVerdediger
2Assists

Kaarten

Juan Jesus
Juan JesusVerdediger
60
David Neres
David NeresAanvaller
30
N. Lang
N. LangAanvaller
20
S. Beukema
S. BeukemaVerdediger
20
A. Buongiorno
A. BuongiornoVerdediger
20

Gedetailleerde Vorm & Recente Wedstrijden

Genua
WWLWD
10Gespeeld
5Overwinningen
2Gelijkspelen
3Verliezingen
Punten/Wedstrijd1.7
Winst %50%
Goals/Wedstrijd2.8
Gem. Goals1.7
Gem. Conceded1.1
Beide Scoren40%
Schone sheets50%
Niet gescoord30%

Recente Wedstrijden

15 mrtWbij Hoge Verona2-0
8 mrtWvs AS Roma2-1
28 febLbij Internazionale0-2
22 febWvs Torino3-0
15 febDbij Cremonese0-0
Napoli
WWWLD
10Gespeeld
5Overwinningen
2Gelijkspelen
3Verliezingen
Punten/Wedstrijd1.7
Winst %50%
Goals/Wedstrijd3.4
Gem. Goals1.7
Gem. Conceded1.7
Beide Scoren90%
Schone sheets0%
Niet gescoord10%

Recente Wedstrijden

14 mrtWvs Lecce2-1
6 mrtWvs Torino2-1
28 febWbij Hoge Verona2-1
22 febLbij Atalanta1-2
15 febDvs AS Roma2-2

Onderlinge Resultaten

Wedstrijdstatistieken

MaatstafWaarde
Totaal Wedstrijden11
Gemiddeld Goals3.55
Beide Scoren82%
Meer dan 2.5 Goals91%
Meer dan 1.5 Goals100%

Goals per Team

TeamTotaalGemiddeld
Genua131.18 per spel
Napoli262.36 per spel

Schone sheets

TeamSchone sheets
Genua0 (0%)
Napoli2 (18%)
7 feb 2026Serie AGenua2-3Napoli
5 okt 2025Serie ANapoli2-1Genua
11 mei 2025Serie ANapoli2-2Genua
21 dec 2024Serie AGenua1-2Napoli
17 feb 2024Serie ANapoli1-1Genua
16 sep 2023Serie AGenua2-2Napoli
15 mei 2022Serie ANapoli3-0Genua
29 aug 2021Serie AGenua1-2Napoli
6 feb 2021Serie AGenua2-1Napoli
27 sep 2020Serie ANapoli6-0Genua
8 jul 2020Serie AGenua1-2Napoli