EnglandEngeland
Premier LeaguePremier League
Ronde 25

Newcastle vs Brentford Voorspelling en Wedtips

Newcastle

Newcastle

9.42 pnt
7 feb 2026
2-3
Einde
Brentford

Brentford

7.44 pnt
St. James' Park, Newcastle
Correct
Onze keuze
Beide scoren
Ja
@ 1.56
2 : 3
FT

Wedtips

48%
24%
28%
NewcastleGelijkspelBrentford
Resultaat
Thuiswinst
@ 1.82
47%
Totaal doelpunten
Over 2.5
@ 1.67
58%
Dubbele kans
Thuis/Uit
@ 1.29
37%
Asian handicap
H. Thuis -0.50
@ 1.96
51%
Eerste Helft
Gelijkspel
@ 2.20
40%
HT/FT
Gelijkspel/Thuis
@ 5.10
19.6%
Exacte score
2:1
@ 7.00
14.3%

Aanvullende markten

Totaal hoekschoppen
Over 9.5
@ 1.50
61.8%
Odds elk uur bijgewerkt
Voorspellingen opnieuw berekend elke 2 uur
Gespiegeld 2 uur voor de aftrap

Expertanalyse

James Mitchell
James Mitchell Engels Voetbalanalist
74.8% 12+ jaren
6 min lezen

St James' Park Set for a Battle of Resurgence and Resilience Few Premier League fixtures this season have carried as much tactical intrigue and statistical significance as the showdown between Newcastle United and Brentford this Saturday. With both c...

Lees volledige analyse

Wedstrijdgegevens

Newcastle
Newcastle heeft in elk van de laatste 7 wedstrijden gescoord
Newcastle heeft alle 6 penalties dit seizoen gescoord
Newcastle incasseert 37% van de doelpunten na de 75e minuut (15 goals)
Newcastle heeft 3 rode kaarten ontvangen in 30 wedstrijden dit seizoen
Newcastle heeft in 11 van de laatste 15 wedstrijden in de eerste helft geïncasseerd (73%)
Bruno Guimarães was betrokken bij 11 doelpunten (8G + 3A)
Brentford
Brentford heeft alle 6 penalties dit seizoen gescoord
Brentford scoort 33% van hun doelpunten na de 75e minuut (15 goals)
Brentford incasseert 32% van de doelpunten na de 75e minuut (12 goals)
Thiago was betrokken bij 17 doelpunten (16G + 1A)
Thiago heeft 16 van de 44 doelpunten van Brentford gescoord (36%)
Brentford heeft in 9 van de 29 wedstrijden niet gescoord (31%)

Belangrijke Statistieken

Newcastle6
1Gelijkspelen
3Brentford
4.2Gem. Goals
80%Beide Scoren
80%Plus 2.5
7 feb 2026Newcastle2-3Brentford
9 nov 2025Brentford3-1Newcastle
2 apr 2025Newcastle2-1Brentford
7 dec 2024Brentford4-2Newcastle
19 mei 2024Brentford2-4Newcastle
Bekijk alle onderlinge wedstrijden

Kansen

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet1.503.552.40
188Bet2.073.703.45
1xBet2.123.663.68

Volledige analyse

James Mitchell
James Mitchell
Engels Voetbalanalist
74.8% Nauwkeurigheid
12+ Jaren ervaring
3.1k Voorspellingen

St James' Park Set for a Battle of Resurgence and Resilience

Few Premier League fixtures this season have carried as much tactical intrigue and statistical significance as the showdown between Newcastle United and Brentford this Saturday. With both clubs hovering around mid-table but showing contrasting recent momentum, this game offers more than just three points — it’s a reflection of their ambitions and resilience as they push toward the second half of the campaign.

Setting the Scene: A Mid-Season Crucible

As the Premier League reaches its strategic midpoint, Newcastle’s recent form—marked by a series of fluctuating results—has seen them oscillate between promising performances and frustrating setbacks. Their current record of 33 points places them comfortably in 11th, yet they’re only a handful of wins from breaking into the top half. Meanwhile, Brentford’s ascent to 7th place, with 36 points, underscores a season of steady growth, driven by tactical discipline and potent attacking options.

This Saturday’s fixture is pivotal; a win could propel Newcastle closer to the upper echelons, while Brentford seeks to solidify their place amidst the league’s challenging middle section. It’s an encounter defined not just by league standings but by the narrative of momentum and tactical nuance.

Recent Trajectories: Momentum and Metrics

Let’s dissect how both teams have traveled in recent weeks. Newcastle’s last five matches have been a mosaic of ups and downs—culminating in a record of LDLWD. Their attack averages 1.4 goals per game, and defensively, they concede roughly 1.3, which indicates a typical Premier League duel—competitive but occasionally vulnerable.

Brentford, by contrast, have been more consistent, winning four of their last five outings (WLLWW). They’ve scored at a rate of 1.7 goals per game and have conceded just 0.8, showcasing a balanced approach that makes them a tough opponent for any side on their day. Their defense, holding 50% clean sheets, backs up their reputation as a sturdy, tactically disciplined unit.

So, while Newcastle’s recent form hints at potential volatility, Brentford’s resilience and offensive efficiency make them slight favorites, especially given their recent run of results.

Tactics and Formations: The Chessboard Unfolds

Newcastle, under Eddie Howe, traditionally deploy a 4-3-3 formation, emphasizing possession, quick transitional play, and robust pressing. Their approach relies heavily on their front three, with N. Woltemade and H. Barnes expected to provide width and dynamism, while Bruno Guimarães anchors centrally with his playmaking and goal-scoring ability.

Brentford, meanwhile, typically utilize a 4-2-3-1, with Thiago leading the line as their main goal threat. The double pivot in midfield offers stability and allows their attacking midfielders like K. Schade and D. Ouattara to exploit spaces. Their tactical discipline, combined with quick counters, makes them a threat on the break.

Defensively, Brentford's 50% clean-sheet rate suggests they’ll prioritize containment, while Newcastle will look to leverage their home advantage to press high and disrupt Brentford’s buildup. Expect a tactical battle of patience versus aggression—a classic chess match unfolding on the turf.

Decisive Figures: The Players Who Could Tip the Scales

On Newcastle’s side, Bruno Guimarães is a linchpin—his ability to control the midfield, thread passes, and find the net makes him a focal point. N. Woltemade’s versatility and knack for scoring crucial goals also merit attention, alongside H. Barnes’s width and creative sparks.

Brentford’s main weapon is Thiago, whose 16 goals make him one of the league’s most lethal finishers this season. K. Schade’s contributions from wide and D. Ouattara’s pace on the flanks could unlock Newcastle’s defense, especially if Brentford capitalize on counter-attacks. Defensive stalwart D. Raya’s goalkeeping will be critical, too, to deny Newcastle’s forwards a goal-scoring opportunity.

Head-to-Head Highlights: A History of Goals and Drama

Over their last nine encounters, Newcastle comfortably dominate the head-to-heads, with six wins compared to Brentford’s two and a solitary draw. The average goals per match sit high at over four, and the fixture has historically been lively, with a BTTS rate approaching 78%. Recent clashes include heavy scores—like Brentford’s 4-2 win in December 2024—and close contests like Newcastle’s 2-1 victory in April 2025.

This pattern suggests that both sides are capable of scoring, but also occasionally vulnerable at the back, setting the stage for an open, goal-rich encounter.

Betting Market Insights: The Numbers and the Value

Looking at bookmaker odds, the markets reflect a tight contest but lean slightly towards Brentford, with an implied probability of approximately 56% from their odds—corresponding to their recent form and head-to-head edge.

The 1X2 market offers Newcastle as underdogs, with a probability of around 49% for a home win, indicating bookmakers see this as a closely balanced game. The draw’s odds suggest about a 26-27% chance, while Brentford’s win is pegged at roughly 24-25%. The slight favoritism towards Brentford is justified, given their recent form and league position, but Newcastle’s home advantage and historical success add weight to their case.

In over/under 2.5 goals, the odds are slightly skewed towards the over, with a 57% implied probability. Given both teams’ attacking strengths and a history of goals in head-to-head matches, this looks like a sustainable prediction.

Both Teams to Score is favored at around 59%, supported by Newcastle’s goal-scoring potential and Brentford’s offensive potency, especially with Thiago in form.

For those considering Asian handicap markets, a +0.25 or +0.5 for Newcastle offers some value, aligning with their signal of a competitive home performance.

From Our Perspective: The Most Probable Scenario

Taking all factors into account, our confidence leans towards a closely contested game with goals on both sides. The recent head-to-head scoring patterns and the attacking profiles suggest that both teams will find the net.

While Brentford’s slightly better recent form and defensive resilience tip the scales in their favor, Newcastle’s home resilience and historical dominance in head-to-head encounters keep them in the game.

We assign a 49% confidence to a Newcastle win, justified by their home advantage and the potential for a late surge. Our over 2.5 goals prediction sits at 57%, supported by the goal-heavy history and attacking talents. The BTS (Both Teams to Score) market at 59% aligns well with these stats.

Best Bets and Final Thoughts

  • Prediction: Newcastle to Win (49% confidence) — a bold but justified call based on home advantage and head-to-head dominance.
  • GoalsTotal: Over 2.5 Goals — given recent stats and scoring patterns, a high likelihood.
  • Both Teams Score: Yes — supported by team strengths and historical data.

While the betting markets suggest a tight, high-scoring game with a slight lean towards Brentford, the overall picture points to an open contest with multiple goal-scoring opportunities. Expect a match driven by tactical battles, individual brilliance, and the persistent push for a crucial three points in the Premier League’s mid-season grind.

Aanvullende informatie

NewcastleNewcastle

Top scorers

Bruno Guimarães
Bruno GuimarãesMiddenvelder
8Goals
N. Woltemade
N. WoltemadeAanvaller
7Goals
H. Barnes
H. BarnesAanvaller
5Goals
A. Gordon
A. GordonAanvaller
3Goals
M. Thiaw
M. ThiawVerdediger
3Goals

Assists

Bruno Guimarães
Bruno GuimarãesMiddenvelder
3Assists
L. Miley
L. MileyMiddenvelder
3Assists
N. Woltemade
N. WoltemadeAanvaller
2Assists
D. Burn
D. BurnVerdediger
2Assists
A. Gordon
A. GordonAanvaller
1Assists

Kaarten

Joelinton
JoelintonMiddenvelder
60
D. Burn
D. BurnVerdediger
50
Bruno Guimarães
Bruno GuimarãesMiddenvelder
40
A. Gordon
A. GordonAanvaller
31
M. Thiaw
M. ThiawVerdediger
30
BrentfordBrentford

Top scorers

Thiago
ThiagoAanvaller
16Goals
K. Schade
K. SchadeMiddenvelder
6Goals
D. Ouattara
D. OuattaraMiddenvelder
4Goals
K. Lewis-Potter
K. Lewis-PotterMiddenvelder
2Goals
M. Jensen
M. JensenMiddenvelder
2Goals

Assists

V. Janelt
V. JaneltMiddenvelder
4Assists
K. Schade
K. SchadeMiddenvelder
3Assists
J. Henderson
J. HendersonMiddenvelder
3Assists
M. Damsgaard
M. DamsgaardMiddenvelder
3Assists
N. Collins
N. CollinsVerdediger
2Assists

Kaarten

K. Schade
K. SchadeMiddenvelder
61
M. Kayode
M. KayodeVerdediger
60
Y. Yarmolyuk
Y. YarmolyukMiddenvelder
50
V. Janelt
V. JaneltMiddenvelder
50
Thiago
ThiagoAanvaller
40

Gedetailleerde Vorm & Recente Wedstrijden

Newcastle
WDLWL
10Gespeeld
6Overwinningen
1Gelijkspelen
3Verliezingen
Punten/Wedstrijd1.9
Winst %60%
Goals/Wedstrijd3.7
Gem. Goals2.2
Gem. Conceded1.5
Beide Scoren90%
Schone sheets10%
Niet gescoord0%

Recente Wedstrijden

14 mrtWbij Chelsea1-0
10 mrtDvs Barcelona1-1
7 mrtLvs Manchester City1-3
4 mrtWvs Manchester United2-1
28 febLvs Everton2-3
Brentford
DWLWD
10Gespeeld
5Overwinningen
2Gelijkspelen
3Verliezingen
Punten/Wedstrijd1.7
Winst %50%
Goals/Wedstrijd2.4
Gem. Goals1.2
Gem. Conceded1.2
Beide Scoren30%
Schone sheets40%
Niet gescoord40%

Recente Wedstrijden

3 mrtDbij Bournemouth0-0
28 febWbij Burnley4-3
21 febLvs Brighton0-2
16 febWbij Macclesfield1-0
12 febDvs Arsenal1-1

Onderlinge Resultaten

Wedstrijdstatistieken

MaatstafWaarde
Totaal Wedstrijden10
Gemiddeld Goals4.2
Beide Scoren80%
Meer dan 2.5 Goals80%
Meer dan 1.5 Goals90%

Goals per Team

TeamTotaalGemiddeld
Newcastle242.4 per spel
Brentford181.8 per spel

Schone sheets

TeamSchone sheets
Newcastle2 (20%)
Brentford0 (0%)
7 feb 2026Premier LeagueNewcastle2-3Brentford
9 nov 2025Premier LeagueBrentford3-1Newcastle
2 apr 2025Premier LeagueNewcastle2-1Brentford
7 dec 2024Premier LeagueBrentford4-2Newcastle
19 mei 2024Premier LeagueBrentford2-4Newcastle
16 sep 2023Premier LeagueNewcastle1-0Brentford
8 apr 2023Premier LeagueBrentford1-2Newcastle
8 okt 2022Premier LeagueNewcastle5-1Brentford
26 feb 2022Premier LeagueBrentford0-2Newcastle
20 nov 2021Premier LeagueNewcastle3-3Brentford