EnglandEngeland
League TwoTweede Divisie
Ronde 31

Newport County vs Grimsby Voorspelling en Wedtips

7 feb 2026
0-0
Einde
Grimsby

Grimsby

8.56 pnt
Rodney Parade, Newport
Incorrect
Onze keuze
Asian handicap
H. Uit -0.25
@ 1.24
0 : 0
FT

Wedtips

23%
23%
53%
Newport CountyGelijkspelGrimsby
Resultaat
Uitwinst
@ 1.59
53%
Totaal doelpunten
Over 2.5
@ 1.78
53%
Dubbele kans
Gelijkspel/Uit
@ 1.20
39%
Asian handicap
H. Uit -0.25
@ 1.24
81%
Eerste Helft
Gelijkspel
@ 2.15
40%
HT/FT
Gelijkspel/Uit
@ 4.50
22.2%
Exacte score
1:2
@ 6.50
15.4%

Aanvullende markten

Totaal hoekschoppen
Over 9.5
@ 1.77
52.4%
Odds elk uur bijgewerkt
Voorspellingen opnieuw berekend elke 2 uur
Gespiegeld 2 uur voor de aftrap

Expertanalyse

David Coleman
David Coleman Senior Voetbalanalist
75% 20+ jaren
6 min lezen

Newport County vs Grimsby: A Tale of Two Fortunes at Rodney Parade When the fixture list revealed Newport County welcoming Grimsby on a chilly Saturday afternoon, few could have anticipated the stark contrast in their recent trajectories. Newport, la...

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Wedstrijdgegevens

Newport County
Newport County heeft 11 van de 18 thuiswedstrijden verloren (61%)
Newport County heeft 3 rode kaarten ontvangen in 37 wedstrijden dit seizoen
Newport County scoort 32% van hun doelpunten na de 75e minuut (12 goals)
Newport County heeft in 14 van de 37 wedstrijden niet gescoord (38%)
Newport County scoort 66% van hun doelpunten in de tweede helft
Grimsby
Grimsby heeft alle 5 penalties dit seizoen gescoord

Belangrijke Statistieken

Newport County2
4Gelijkspelen
4Grimsby
1.4Gem. Goals
30%Beide Scoren
10%Plus 2.5
7 feb 2026Newport County0-0Grimsby
16 aug 2025Grimsby2-1Newport County
22 mrt 2025Grimsby1-0Newport County
16 nov 2024Newport County0-0Grimsby
6 apr 2024Grimsby1-0Newport County
Bekijk alle onderlinge wedstrijden

Kansen

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet3.103.651.33
188Bet3.703.601.75
1xBet4.143.681.79

Volledige analyse

David Coleman
David Coleman
Senior Voetbalanalist
75% Nauwkeurigheid
20+ Jaren ervaring
5.5k Voorspellingen

Newport County vs Grimsby: A Tale of Two Fortunes at Rodney Parade

When the fixture list revealed Newport County welcoming Grimsby on a chilly Saturday afternoon, few could have anticipated the stark contrast in their recent trajectories. Newport, languishing near the bottom of League Two with just five wins all season, are desperately seeking any glimmer of hope. Meanwhile, Grimsby, riding a wave of momentum with six wins from their last ten outings, are targeting a playoff push and eyeing a statement victory at Rodney Parade.

Setting the Scene: The League's Tale of Two Turns

This match embodies the chasm that can open up in League Two between sides battling different seasons. Newport County, in 23rd place, have struggled to find consistency, suffering seven defeats in their last ten games. Their recent form—LLWLL—underscores a team trapped in a cycle of frustration. With only 20 points, they sit perilously close to the relegation zone, and their home form has offered little solace, with only one clean sheet all season.

Conversely, Grimsby’s recent form—DWWWW—has seen them ascend to 9th position, with 44 points, comfortably within the playoff hunt. Their attacking prowess, evidenced by an average of 1.1 goals per game, combined with a sturdy defensive record (only 32 goals conceded all season), makes them a formidable opponent on their travels. The Mariners are confident, cohesive, and motivated—a stark contrast to Newport’s current struggles.

Current State of Play: Momentum and Morale

Examining their last five outings reveals a tale of two seasons. Newport’s inconsistent form—only 2 wins, 1 draw, and 7 losses—has crippled their confidence. Their goal average of just 1 per game, coupled with a conceded average of 2.1, paints a picture of defensive fragility and limited offensive penetration.

Grimsby, on the other hand, has found a winning rhythm, with six victories and only two defeats in recent weeks. Their key strength lies in their organized shape and disciplined defending—achieving 10 clean sheets this season, with a defensive record that has kept opponents at bay. Their attack, spearheaded by J. Kabia and C. Vernam, has been effective without being overly reliant on a single scorer.

Tactical Blueprints: Formations and Strategies

Expect Newport to adopt their typical 5-3-2 formation, aiming for defensive solidity and trying to capitalize on counterattacks. Their recent goal-scoring record suggests they’ll rely on structured defending and look for opportunistic chances from set-pieces or quick breaks.

Grimsby, operating in a 4-1-4-1 setup, values possession and width, leveraging C. Vernam’s creativity and K. Green’s work rate in midfield. Their organized pressing and disciplined defensive line—averaging 60% clean sheets—could frustrate Newport’s forward line, which has struggled to break down well-organized defenses.

Key Players Who Could Turn the Tide

  • Newport County:
    • N. Opoku: The top scorer, with 4 goals and 2 assists, whose pace and movement could threaten the Grimsby backline.
    • C. Baker-Richardson: Also with 4 goals, he’s a clinical finisher with the knack for crucial goals.
    • K. Whitmore: Creative force with 4 assists—his ability to unlock defenses could be pivotal if Newport hopes to upset the odds.
  • Grimsby:
    • J. Kabia: Leading scorer with 8 goals, possessing flair and composure—key in breaking down stubborn defenses.
    • C. Vernam: An assist machine with 7 assists and 6 goals, capable of unlocking tight backlines with set-pieces or open play.
    • K. Green: Midfield anchor, whose positioning and work rate help maintain the team’s defensive discipline.

Head-to-Head Flashpoints and Patterns

The historical record shows a slight edge for Grimsby, with four wins in their last nine meetings against Newport, who have managed only two victories. Their recent clashes have been tight, with an average of just 1.56 goals per game and a low BTTS rate of 33%. The last encounter in August 2025 saw Grimsby triumph 2-1, a result that hints at the potential for a closely fought contest this time around.

Notably, Newport’s home record against Grimsby has been a mixed bag, with some tight draws and narrow defeats. The pattern suggests that Grimsby’s organized approach often stifles Newport’s attacking efforts, a trend that may persist unless the hosts find innovative ways to unlock the Mariners’ defense.

Breaking Down the Bookies: Odds and Market Insights

Bookmakers see this as a clear away-day—Grimsby is hefty favorite at 1.33 (implied probability 54.2%), while Newport’s chance is pegged at 3.0 (24%), with the draw at 3.3 (21.8%). Double chance markets reinforce this bias: 1X (Home or Draw) at 1.91 offers moderate value for bettors seeking security, but the more enticing options lie elsewhere.

The Asian Handicap markets are interesting: Away +0.5 at 1.83 suggests bookmakers see Grimsby as slightly better, but with some room for Newport to spoil the party. Over/Under 2.5 goals currently sits at 1.95 for under and 1.89 for over, indicating a near-equal expectation for a low or moderate scoring affair.

Looking at the top correct scores, 0-1 and 1-1 are both priced at 5.75, highlighting the likelihood of a narrow win or a tight draw—both plausible outcomes given the patterns and recent form.

My Verdict: The Drama Unfolds

Based on current form, tactical considerations, and head-to-head trends, the most probable outcome leans toward an away victory, with Grimsby’s disciplined setup and potent attack proving decisive. However, Newport’s resilience and capacity to score—particularly through key individuals like Opoku and Baker-Richardson—mean the home side could pose a threat, especially if they capitalize on set-pieces or defensive lapses.

Considering the odds and the statistical evidence, a modest confidence level supports a double chance on X2 (Away or Draw) at 1.22, yet the value appears even clearer with a bet on Grimsby outright at 1.33, aligning with the 81% form dominance—especially given Newport’s recent struggles at home.

Key Recommendations for Betting

  • Predicted Result: Grimsby win (52% confidence)
  • Total Goals: Under 2.5 (52% confidence), expecting a tight, disciplined contest
  • Both Teams to Score: Yes (51% confidence), as Newport’s attack and Grimsby’s occasional lapses could produce a goal each
  • Best Bet: Grimsby to win outright at 1.33 or Double Chance (X2) at 1.22—both offer solid value based on team form and head-to-head trends

Closing Thoughts: The Puzzle of Newport’s Resilience

In the end, this fixture isn’t just about points—it's a test of Newport’s ability to arrest their slide against a side that’s proven adept at grinding out results. For Grimsby, this is an opportunity to cement their playoff ambitions, demonstrating their robustness away from home. Expect a game marked by tactical discipline, moments of individual brilliance, and a nervous tension that keeps fans on the edge of their seats until the final whistle.

Aanvullende informatie

Newport CountyNewport County

Top scorers

N. Opoku
N. OpokuAanvaller
4Goals
C. Baker-Richardson
C. Baker-RichardsonAanvaller
4Goals
K. Whitmore
K. WhitmoreMiddenvelder
3Goals
M. Spellman
M. SpellmanAanvaller
3Goals
C. Antwi
C. AntwiMiddenvelder
3Goals

Assists

K. Whitmore
K. WhitmoreMiddenvelder
4Assists
N. Opoku
N. OpokuAanvaller
2Assists
L. Jenkins
L. JenkinsVerdediger
2Assists
M. Smith
M. SmithMiddenvelder
2Assists
C. Baker-Richardson
C. Baker-RichardsonAanvaller
1Assists

Kaarten

A. Driscoll-Glennon
A. Driscoll-GlennonVerdediger
60
K. Whitmore
K. WhitmoreMiddenvelder
50
M. Spellman
M. SpellmanAanvaller
50
M. Baker
M. BakerVerdediger
40
L. Jenkins
L. JenkinsVerdediger
40
GrimsbyGrimsby

Top scorers

J. Kabia
J. KabiaAanvaller
8Goals
C. Vernam
C. VernamMiddenvelder
6Goals
K. Green
K. GreenMiddenvelder
6Goals
J. Walker
J. WalkerAanvaller
4Goals
E. Khouri
E. KhouriMiddenvelder
4Goals

Assists

C. Vernam
C. VernamMiddenvelder
7Assists
J. Walker
J. WalkerAanvaller
2Assists
J. Sweeney
J. SweeneyVerdediger
2Assists
J. Amaluzor
J. AmaluzorAanvaller
2Assists
D. Burns
D. BurnsMiddenvelder
2Assists

Kaarten

G. McEachran
G. McEachranMiddenvelder
60
H. Rodgers
H. RodgersVerdediger
50
J. Kabia
J. KabiaAanvaller
40
K. Green
K. GreenMiddenvelder
40
E. Khouri
E. KhouriMiddenvelder
40

Gedetailleerde Vorm & Recente Wedstrijden

Newport County
WLWDL
10Gespeeld
3Overwinningen
2Gelijkspelen
5Verliezingen
Punten/Wedstrijd1.1
Winst %30%
Goals/Wedstrijd2.2
Gem. Goals0.9
Gem. Conceded1.3
Beide Scoren40%
Schone sheets20%
Niet gescoord60%

Recente Wedstrijden

14 mrtWbij Barnet2-1
7 mrtLvs Colchester1-2
3 mrtWvs Tranmere3-1
28 febDbij Fleetwood Town0-0
21 febLvs Cambridge United0-2
Grimsby
LDWWL
10Gespeeld
3Overwinningen
4Gelijkspelen
3Verliezingen
Punten/Wedstrijd1.3
Winst %30%
Goals/Wedstrijd2.2
Gem. Goals1.1
Gem. Conceded1.1
Beide Scoren50%
Schone sheets30%
Niet gescoord30%

Recente Wedstrijden

14 mrtLbij Oldham Athletic0-1
7 mrtDvs Bromley1-1
3 mrtWvs Salford City3-1
28 febWbij Notts County1-0
21 febLbij Bristol Rovers1-3

Onderlinge Resultaten

Wedstrijdstatistieken

MaatstafWaarde
Totaal Wedstrijden10
Gemiddeld Goals1.4
Beide Scoren30%
Meer dan 2.5 Goals10%
Meer dan 1.5 Goals50%

Goals per Team

TeamTotaalGemiddeld
Newport County60.6 per spel
Grimsby80.8 per spel

Schone sheets

TeamSchone sheets
Newport County4 (40%)
Grimsby5 (50%)
7 feb 2026Tweede DivisieNewport County0-0Grimsby
16 aug 2025Tweede DivisieGrimsby2-1Newport County
22 mrt 2025Tweede DivisieGrimsby1-0Newport County
16 nov 2024Tweede DivisieNewport County0-0Grimsby
6 apr 2024Tweede DivisieGrimsby1-0Newport County
16 dec 2023Tweede DivisieNewport County1-1Grimsby
7 mrt 2023Tweede DivisieGrimsby1-1Newport County
3 sep 2022Tweede DivisieNewport County0-2Grimsby
6 feb 2021Tweede DivisieNewport County1-0Grimsby
8 dec 2020Tweede DivisieGrimsby0-2Newport County