FranceFrankrijk
Ligue 2Ligue 2
Ronde 23

PAU vs Boulogne Voorspelling en Wedtips

PAU

PAU

11.38 pnt
13 feb 2026
1-2
Einde
Boulogne

Boulogne

12.33 pnt
Nouste Camp, Pau
Correct
Onze keuze
Beide scoren
Ja
@ 1.78
1 : 2
FT

Wedtips

50%
25%
24%
PAUGelijkspelBoulogne
Resultaat
Thuiswinst
@ 1.69
50%
Totaal doelpunten
Under 2.5
@ 1.86
51%
Dubbele kans
Thuis/Gelijkspel
@ 1.23
38%
Asian handicap
H. Thuis -0.75
@ 2.09
48%
Eerste Helft
Gelijkspel
@ 2.04
42%
HT/FT
Gelijkspel/Thuis
@ 4.50
22.2%

Aanvullende markten

Totaal hoekschoppen
Under 9.5
@ 1.80
51.5%
Odds elk uur bijgewerkt
Voorspellingen opnieuw berekend elke 2 uur
Gespiegeld 2 uur voor de aftrap

Expertanalyse

David Coleman
David Coleman Senior Voetbalanalist
75% 20+ jaren
6 min lezen

Introducing the Nouste Camp Atmosphere: Home Advantage in Focus The Nouste Camp in Pau continues to be a fortress for the hosts, where the blend of passionate local support and the familiar pitch conditions provide a tangible edge. Historically, Pau’...

Lees volledige analyse

Wedstrijdgegevens

PAU
PAU heeft de laatste 3 competitiewedstrijden verloren
PAU heeft 6 rode kaarten ontvangen in 26 wedstrijden dit seizoen
PAU heeft alle 5 penalties dit seizoen gescoord
PAU heeft 6 van de 14 thuiswedstrijden verloren (43%)
Meer dan 2,5 doelpunten in 11 van de laatste 15 wedstrijden van PAU (73%)
PAU heeft in 10 van de laatste 15 wedstrijden in de eerste helft geïncasseerd (67%)
Boulogne
Boulogne heeft 8 van de 13 thuiswedstrijden verloren (62%)
Boulogne scoort 81% van hun doelpunten in de tweede helft
Boulogne scoort 38% van hun doelpunten na de 75e minuut (10 goals)
Boulogne heeft 3 rode kaarten ontvangen in 26 wedstrijden dit seizoen
Boulogne heeft alle 3 penalties dit seizoen gescoord
Boulogne heeft in 8 van de 26 wedstrijden niet gescoord (31%)

Belangrijke Statistieken

PAU2
4Gelijkspelen
3Boulogne
2.44Gem. Goals
56%Beide Scoren
56%Plus 2.5
13 feb 2026PAU1-2Boulogne
19 sep 2025Boulogne0-3PAU
20 dec 2019Boulogne0-0PAU
21 mrt 2019Boulogne1-1PAU
19 okt 2018PAU3-1Boulogne
Bekijk alle onderlinge wedstrijden

Kansen

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet1.383.402.80
188Bet1.963.353.35
1xBet1.923.354.04

Volledige analyse

David Coleman
David Coleman
Senior Voetbalanalist
75% Nauwkeurigheid
20+ Jaren ervaring
5.5k Voorspellingen

Introducing the Nouste Camp Atmosphere: Home Advantage in Focus

The Nouste Camp in Pau continues to be a fortress for the hosts, where the blend of passionate local support and the familiar pitch conditions provide a tangible edge. Historically, Pau’s performances at home have been bolstered by an organized defensive line and an often-energetic crowd that amplifies the atmosphere, especially on a Friday evening when supporters are eager for a positive start to the weekend. This environment could be pivotal in shaping the outcome of this fixture, as Pau seek to capitalize on their home edge against Boulogne’s traveling side.

Deciphering the Context: Why This Match Matters

As Pau sits comfortably in 7th place with 34 points, this fixture is crucial in their quest for a top-six finish and potential playoff contention. Boulogne, nestled in 14th with 23 points, faces a different challenge—clawing their way up the table and seeking consistency to avoid the relegation battle. For both teams, this encounter isn't merely three points; it’s an opportunity to shift momentum mid-season, bolster confidence, and refine tactical approaches as the league heads into its decisive months.

Momentum on the Runway: Recent Performances Shape Expectations

Current State of Play for Pau

Mixing wins, draws, and losses in their recent five matches (WWDLD), Pau's form suggests a side capable of both offensive resilience and defensive vulnerability. Averaging 1.5 goals scored and conceding 1.3 per game, their attack has shown flashes of effectiveness, led by key contributors like A. Bobichon and G. Versini, both with four goals. Their overall stability at home, with a 40% clean sheet rate, signals a team comfortable in possession but susceptible to counterattacks.

Boulogne's Recent Trajectory

With a form line of LWDWL, Boulogne is a side that fluctuates but maintains an impressive statistical BTTS rate of 70%. Their goal-scoring trend, averaging 1.2 per game, is slightly less potent than Pau’s, yet their propensity to find the net consistently suggests attacking intent. Defensively, they’ve conceded an average of 1.3 goals, and with only 20% clean sheets, their backline remains a concern.

Strategic Setups and Tactical Outlook

Anticipating formations, both teams are expected to deploy a 4-1-4-1, emphasizing midfield control and structured defense. Pau’s approach will likely revolve around maintaining possession, exploiting spaces created by offensive midfielders such as Sadik and Versini, aiming to break down Boulogne’s organized defensive shape.

Boulogne, on the other hand, may prioritize a counterattacking strategy—using the width potentially provided by A. El Farissi and quick transitions. Their 4-1-4-1 setup allows them to remain compact while looking for gaps behind Pau’s defensive line, especially on set pieces or quick breakaways.

The Key Players Who Could Turn the Tide

Pau’s Principal Influencers

  • A. Bobichon: With 4 goals and 2 assists, his creativity and goal-scoring threat make him vital in unlocking tight defenses.
  • G. Versini: Also with 4 goals, Versini’s aerial presence and positioning could be decisive during set pieces or late-game scenarios.
  • O. Sadik: The attacking midfielder with 3 goals and 2 assists provides fluidity and link-up play, potentially orchestrating scoring opportunities.

Boulogne’s Attacking Sparks

  • C. Fatou: Leading scorer with 5 goals, his movement and finishing ability are key threats for Boulogne.
  • A. El Farissi: Contributing 2 goals and 3 assists, his versatility aids in both creating chances and supporting Fatou’s runs.
  • J. Boyer: The midfielder with 2 goals and an assist offers composure and threat from distant shots or set pieces.

Historical Encounters and Trends

The latest and only head-to-head meeting saw Pau thrash Boulogne 3-0 in September 2025 at the Nouste Camp, establishing a psychological edge. Historically, Pau has maintained a dominant record in their meetings, often shutting out Boulogne or winning convincingly. Interestingly, the recent 3-0 victory indicates Pau’s confidence when facing Boulogne at home, which could influence tactical adjustments or mental preparation.

Betting Landscape: Odds, Probabilities, and Value Spots

Bookmaker Odds Breakdown and Implied Probabilities

  • Home Win (1.95): Implies a 42.5% chance
  • Draw (3.2): Implies a 25.9% chance
  • Away Win (2.62): Implies a 31.6% chance

Looking at these, the odds slightly favor a home victory, yet the probabilities leave room for value in the away market or the draw, especially considering Boulogne’s resilience and attacking threats.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals and Both Teams to Score

  • Over/Under 2.5 Goals (odds around 2.0 for under): with a 51% confidence prediction for under 2.5 goals, the line at slightly below even money offers modest value for the under.
  • BTTS (around 1.85): Given Boulogne’s 70% BTTS rate and Pau's 50%, the likelihood of both teams scoring exceeds 52%, suggesting this bet is worth consideration.

Double Chance and Asian Handicap Insights

  • 1X (Home or Draw): at 1.25, this is less appealing given Pau’s recent inconsistency, but still a safer bet.
  • Asian Handicap -0.5 for Pau (odds ~1.91): aligns with our prediction favoring Pau, offering a reasonable risk-reward balance.

Personalized Predictions: Navigating Probabilities with Confidence

After analyzing team stats, recent form, head-to-head trends, and betting odds, the lean is towards a narrow Pau victory. The confidence level for a home win is approximately 49%, given their superior record at Nouste Camp and recent dominance in previous fixtures.

Expect a low to moderate scoring game, with under 2.5 goals having around a 51% implied probability, aligning with Pau’s defensive solidity and Boulogne’s attacking consistency. The likelihood of both teams scoring hovers just above 50%, supported by their BTTS percentages and offensive contributions.

Therefore, the recommended stance is to back Pau on the draw-no-bet or Asian Handicap -0.5, complemented by a moderate wager on BTTS, as both statistical and historical data suggest a competitive fixture with potential for goals from both sides.

Concluding Remarks and Best Betting Opportunities

  • Primary Bet: Pau to win with Asian Handicap -0.5 at odds around 1.91. This aligns with the home advantage, recent head-to-head dominance, and statistical edge.
  • Secondary Consideration: Both teams to score, considering Boulogne’s offensive tendencies and Pau’s occasional defensive lapses, at odds near 1.85.
  • Undervalued Market: Under 2.5 goals at 2.0, given the 51% probability, offers decent value for those seeking a tighter game.

In sum, expect Pau to leverage their home edge and recent form to secure a narrow victory, potentially in a game with few goals but enough attacking intent from Boulogne to ensure both teams find the net.


SEO Pau vs Boulogne Match Preview & Betting Tips | Ligue 2 Insights

Meta Description:

Detailed analysis of Pau vs Boulogne, with predictions, odds, and betting value based on recent form and tactical insights in Ligue 2.

Aanvullende informatie

PAUPAU

Top scorers

A. Bobichon
A. BobichonMiddenvelder
4Goals
G. Versini
G. VersiniMiddenvelder
4Goals
O. Sadik
O. SadikAanvaller
3Goals
G. Versini
G. VersiniMiddenvelder
3Goals
R. Touzghar
R. TouzgharMiddenvelder
2Goals

Assists

A. Bobichon
A. BobichonMiddenvelder
2Assists
O. Sadik
O. SadikAanvaller
2Assists
R. Touzghar
R. TouzgharMiddenvelder
2Assists
D. Meddah
D. MeddahMiddenvelder
2Assists
N. Glossoa
N. GlossoaAanvaller
2Assists

Kaarten

D. Meddah
D. MeddahMiddenvelder
71
S. Karamoko
S. KaramokoVerdediger
41
O. Sadik
O. SadikAanvaller
40
R. Touzghar
R. TouzgharMiddenvelder
40
T. Pouilly
T. PouillyVerdediger
31
BoulogneBoulogne

Top scorers

C. Fatou
C. FatouMiddenvelder
5Goals
A. El Farissi
A. El FarissiAanvaller
2Goals
J. Boyer
J. BoyerVerdediger
2Goals
A. Platret
A. PlatretVerdediger
2Goals
A. Pinot
A. PinotVerdediger
2Goals

Assists

A. El Farissi
A. El FarissiAanvaller
3Assists
S. Duflos
S. DuflosVerdediger
3Assists
L. Boiteau
L. BoiteauMiddenvelder
2Assists
C. Fatou
C. FatouMiddenvelder
1Assists
J. Boyer
J. BoyerVerdediger
1Assists

Kaarten

J. Boyer
J. BoyerVerdediger
50
S. Duflos
S. DuflosVerdediger
40
G. Zohoré
G. ZohoréVerdediger
31
A. El Farissi
A. El FarissiAanvaller
30
A. Pinot
A. PinotVerdediger
30

Gedetailleerde Vorm & Recente Wedstrijden

PAU
WDLLL
10Gespeeld
3Overwinningen
3Gelijkspelen
4Verliezingen
Punten/Wedstrijd1.2
Winst %30%
Goals/Wedstrijd3.6
Gem. Goals1.7
Gem. Conceded1.9
Beide Scoren60%
Schone sheets30%
Niet gescoord10%

Recente Wedstrijden

13 mrtWbij Clermont Foot1-0
6 mrtDvs Bastia2-2
28 febLvs Saint-Étienne0-3
21 febLbij Estac Troyes3-4
13 febLvs Boulogne1-2
Boulogne
WWDLW
10Gespeeld
5Overwinningen
2Gelijkspelen
3Verliezingen
Punten/Wedstrijd1.7
Winst %50%
Goals/Wedstrijd2.4
Gem. Goals1.2
Gem. Conceded1.2
Beide Scoren40%
Schone sheets40%
Niet gescoord30%

Recente Wedstrijden

13 mrtWbij Bastia1-0
6 mrtWvs Amiens4-2
27 febDbij Grenoble0-0
20 febLvs Clermont Foot0-2
13 febWbij PAU2-1

Onderlinge Resultaten

Wedstrijdstatistieken

MaatstafWaarde
Totaal Wedstrijden9
Gemiddeld Goals2.44
Beide Scoren56%
Meer dan 2.5 Goals56%
Meer dan 1.5 Goals78%

Goals per Team

TeamTotaalGemiddeld
PAU111.22 per spel
Boulogne111.22 per spel

Schone sheets

TeamSchone sheets
PAU3 (33%)
Boulogne3 (33%)
13 feb 2026Ligue 2PAU1-2Boulogne
19 sep 2025Ligue 2Boulogne0-3PAU
20 dec 2019Nationale 1Boulogne0-0PAU
21 mrt 2019Nationale 1Boulogne1-1PAU
19 okt 2018Nationale 1PAU3-1Boulogne
20 apr 2018Nationale 1Boulogne1-1PAU
8 dec 2017Nationale 1PAU2-3Boulogne
10 feb 2017Nationale 1PAU0-0Boulogne
2 sep 2016Nationale 1Boulogne3-0PAU