EnglandEngeland
League OneEerste Divisie
Ronde 31

Plymouth Argyle vs Lincoln Voorspelling en Wedtips

7 feb 2026
1-4
Einde
Lincoln

Lincoln

1.80 pnt
Home Park, Plymouth
Correct
Onze keuze
Asian handicap
H. Uit -0.25
@ 1.55
1 : 4
FT

Wedtips

36%
26%
38%
Plymouth ArgyleGelijkspelLincoln
Resultaat
Uitwinst
@ 2.23
38%
Beide scoren
Ja
@ 1.75
53%
Dubbele kans
Thuis/Uit
@ 1.31
36%
Asian handicap
H. Uit -0.25
@ 1.55
65%
Eerste Helft
Gelijkspel
@ 2.03
43%
HT/FT
Gelijkspel/Uit
@ 5.70
17.5%

Aanvullende markten

Totaal hoekschoppen
Over 9.5
@ 1.70
54.7%
Odds elk uur bijgewerkt
Voorspellingen opnieuw berekend elke 2 uur
Gespiegeld 2 uur voor de aftrap

Expertanalyse

David Coleman
David Coleman Senior Voetbalanalist
75% 20+ jaren
6 min lezen

The Battle for Momentum: Plymouth’s Quest to Halt Lincoln’s Rise As Plymouth welcomes Lincoln to Home Park, one man’s name echoes through the build-up—L. Tolaj. The towering frontman for the Pilgrims has been pivotal in their quest for stability in L...

Lees volledige analyse

Wedstrijdgegevens

Plymouth Argyle
Plymouth Argyle heeft 4 rode kaarten ontvangen in 36 wedstrijden dit seizoen
Plymouth Argyle heeft alle 4 penalties dit seizoen gescoord
L. Tolaj was betrokken bij 15 doelpunten (11G + 4A)
Plymouth Argyle heeft 8 van de 18 thuiswedstrijden verloren (44%)
Plymouth Argyle heeft in 11 van de laatste 15 wedstrijden in de eerste helft geïncasseerd (73%)
Plymouth Argyle gemiddeld 2.6 gele kaarten per wedstrijd (95 in 36 wedstrijden)
Lincoln
Lincoln heeft in elk van de laatste 19 wedstrijden gescoord
Lincoln heeft de laatste 5 competitiewedstrijden gewonnen
Lincoln heeft in 13 van de laatste 15 wedstrijden in de eerste helft gescoord (87%)
Lincoln heeft alle 4 penalties dit seizoen gescoord
Lincoln heeft 3 rode kaarten ontvangen in 36 wedstrijden dit seizoen
R. Hackett was betrokken bij 10 doelpunten (6G + 4A)

Belangrijke Statistieken

Plymouth Argyle3
3Gelijkspelen
5Lincoln
3.36Gem. Goals
55%Beide Scoren
55%Plus 2.5
7 feb 2026Plymouth Argyle1-4Lincoln
16 aug 2025Lincoln3-2Plymouth Argyle
10 apr 2023Plymouth Argyle0-2Lincoln
12 nov 2022Lincoln1-1Plymouth Argyle
22 jan 2022Plymouth Argyle1-2Lincoln
Bekijk alle onderlinge wedstrijden

Kansen

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet1.903.251.80
188Bet2.483.352.51
1xBet2.703.262.53

Volledige analyse

David Coleman
David Coleman
Senior Voetbalanalist
75% Nauwkeurigheid
20+ Jaren ervaring
5.5k Voorspellingen

The Battle for Momentum: Plymouth’s Quest to Halt Lincoln’s Rise

As Plymouth welcomes Lincoln to Home Park, one man’s name echoes through the build-up—L. Tolaj. The towering frontman for the Pilgrims has been pivotal in their quest for stability in League One, netting 11 goals this season. His presence and physicality could be the difference-maker in a game that promises both passion and tactical intrigue. Meanwhile, Lincoln’s attack is spearheaded by R. Hackett and F. Draper, each contributing to a prolific scoring record that has helped them surge into second place. The clash hinges on Tolaj’s ability to break Lincoln’s resilient backline, while Lincoln’s creative midfielders aim to unlock Plymouth’s defense. This contest is shaping up to be one of the most compelling fixtures of the weekend—where individual brilliance could tip the scales.

Context & Significance: Mid-Season Power Play

The fixture at Home Park carries more than just three points; it’s a statement of intent. Plymouth, sitting 15th with 37 points, are eager to build on their recent form—losing only twice in their last five matches. Lincoln, on the other hand, with 58 points and a commanding position in second, look to consolidate their promotion push. This match offers Plymouth an opportunity to show they can challenge the top teams, while Lincoln aim to extend their winning streak and tighten their grip on second place. For the league, this game is a microcosm of the battle between ambition and resilience—where Lincoln’s attacking flair meets Plymouth’s defensive grit.

Momentum and Form: The Tale of Two Trajectories

Recent results paint contrasting pictures. Plymouth’s last five outings consist of a balanced run—two wins, three draws, and two defeats—highlighting their inconsistency but also resilience. Their attack averages 1.6 goals per game, which isn’t prolific but sufficient when complemented by a solid defensive record with a 40% clean sheet rate. Conversely, Lincoln have been in red-hot form, winning five of their last six matches (seven wins in their last ten) and boasting an impressive 2.2 goals scored per game. Their defensive record is solid, conceding just 1 goal per game on average and keeping 10 clean sheets overall. Lincoln’s recent momentum suggests they’re a team on a mission, while Plymouth’s mixed results underline the challenge they face in containing Lincoln’s firepower.

Strategic Blueprints: How Might They Line Up?

Plymouth typically deploy a 4-4-2 formation, emphasizing structure and direct attacking options. Expect Owen Oseni and A. Pepple to support Tolaj up front, with midfielders tasked with balancing defensive duties and launching quick counters. Plymouth’s defensive discipline will be crucial; maintaining organization and limiting Lincoln’s space will be key.

Lincoln’s usual setup is a 4-2-3-1, leveraging a strong midfield foundation with Draper and Moylan providing creativity behind Hackett, who serves as the central goal threat. Their fluid attacking system looks to exploit the wider areas and overload Plymouth’s defensive shape. Lincoln’s midfielders are expected to press high and challenge Plymouth’s buildup, aiming to regain possession quickly and launch swift counterattacks.

Key Players with the Power to Decide

  • Plymouth: L. Tolaj – The aerial threat and focal point of Plymouth’s attack, Tolaj’s goal-scoring ability makes him a constant danger. His physical presence could be decisive in breaking Lincoln’s defensive lines.
  • Owen Oseni – Versatile and energetic, Oseni’s runs from deep add creativity and width. He’s capable of unlocking defenses with well-timed passes or cutting inside for shots.
  • A. Pepple – Young and dynamic, Pepple provides a secondary goal threat and can stretch Lincoln’s backline with clever movement.
  • Lincoln: R. Hackett – The leading scorer and playmaker, Hackett’s ability to find pockets of space and create chances makes him Lincoln’s main threat.
  • F. Draper – A box-to-box dynamo, Draper’s energy and passing range help control the midfield and support attacks.
  • J. Moylan – The creative architect, Moylan’s vision and delivery from wide positions can unlock Plymouth’s defenses, especially with set-piece opportunities.

The H2H Narrative & Recent Encounters

In the last ten meetings, the rivalry has been tightly contested, with three Plymouth wins, four Lincoln victories, and three draws. Goals have flowed at an average of over three per game, indicating open and exciting encounters. The recent history suggests Lincoln has slightly edged out Plymouth, with notable wins like the 3-2 victory last August and their 2-0 triumph in April 2023. Plymouth’s last win came back in 2022, highlighting Lincoln’s recent dominance. However, the margin remains slim, with both sides capable of turning the tide, especially considering the unpredictable nature of League One.

Betting Insight: Crunching the Numbers & Market Value

Bookmakers currently rate Lincoln as favorites, with typical odds around 2.00 (1/1) for a win, implying an approximate 50% chance. Plymouth’s odds hover at roughly 3.50, with a draw around 3.30. The implied probabilities indicate Lincoln’s edge—yet, there's value in considering recent form and home advantage.

Over/Under 2.5 goals is priced at about 1.90 for under and 1.85 for over, reflecting the balanced scoring and defensive records. Given Lincoln’s aggressive attack and Plymouth’s resilience, both teams to score (BTTS) is a strong candidate, with odds around 1.80, aligning with a 53% implied probability.

Asian Handicap markets favor Lincoln at -0.25, with odds around 1.80, acknowledging Plymouth’s capacity to challenge but also Lincoln’s superior firepower.

Calculating implied probabilities reveals that the market slightly undervalues Plymouth’s chances, especially considering their home advantage and recent form fluctuations. Accordingly, a cautious but optimistic approach toward the double chance (X2) at roughly 1.60 offers a safer alternative, with a 36% implied chance of at least a draw or Lincoln win.

Predictions and Personal Insights

Considering all factors—form, head-to-head dynamics, tactical setups, and individual matchups—an evenly poised game emerges. Lincoln’s superior attack and recent winning streak give them a slight edge, but Plymouth’s resilience and home advantage prevent a straightforward outcome.

My confidence leans toward a draw—both teams possess enough attacking threat and defensive vulnerabilities to exchange goals. The predicted scoreline leans 1-1, with a probability of 28%, supported by the tendencies shown in recent meetings and the data at hand.

Over 2.5 goals is slightly over 50% likely, given the open nature of the encounters and Lincoln’s aggressive scoring record. Both teams to score is a value bet at similar confidence levels.

Ultimately, I see Lincoln edging this game but acknowledge Plymouth’s potential to disrupt and secure a point, especially if Tolaj finds moments of brilliance.

Best Bets Snapshot

  • Predicted Result: Draw (X) – 28% confidence
  • Goals Total: Under 2.5 goals – 53% confidence
  • Both Teams Score: Yes – 53% confidence
  • Double Chance: X2 (Draw or Lincoln win) – 36% confidence

With a narrow focus on tactical discipline and individual moments of excellence, this fixture at Home Park promises to deliver drama and tactical battles in equal measure. Expect Lincoln’s clinical attack to test Plymouth’s defenses, while the Pilgrims look to Tolaj to fire them to an unlikely reward. With bookmakers leaning slightly toward Lincoln, sharp bettors will seek value in the draw or the BTTS market, reflecting an even contest between two determined sides.

Aanvullende informatie

Plymouth ArgylePlymouth Argyle

Top scorers

L. Tolaj
L. TolajAanvaller
11Goals
Owen Oseni
Owen OseniAanvaller
4Goals
A. Pepple
A. PeppleAanvaller
4Goals
B. Ibrahim
B. IbrahimMiddenvelder
3Goals
X. Amaechi
X. AmaechiMiddenvelder
3Goals

Assists

L. Tolaj
L. TolajAanvaller
4Assists
M. Boateng
M. BoatengMiddenvelder
4Assists
B. Mumba
B. MumbaMiddenvelder
4Assists
Owen Oseni
Owen OseniAanvaller
2Assists
B. Ibrahim
B. IbrahimMiddenvelder
2Assists

Kaarten

M. Sorinola
M. SorinolaVerdediger
100
B. Ibrahim
B. IbrahimMiddenvelder
60
B. Mumba
B. MumbaMiddenvelder
60
J. Edwards
J. EdwardsVerdediger
51
L. Tolaj
L. TolajAanvaller
41
LincolnLincoln

Top scorers

R. Hackett
R. HackettMiddenvelder
6Goals
F. Draper
F. DraperAanvaller
6Goals
J. Moylan
J. MoylanMiddenvelder
5Goals
A. Reach
A. ReachMiddenvelder
4Goals
R. Street
R. StreetMiddenvelder
4Goals

Assists

T. Hamer
T. HamerVerdediger
5Assists
R. Hackett
R. HackettMiddenvelder
4Assists
J. Moylan
J. MoylanMiddenvelder
3Assists
A. Reach
A. ReachMiddenvelder
3Assists
T. Darikwa
T. DarikwaVerdediger
3Assists

Kaarten

C. McGrandles
C. McGrandlesMiddenvelder
80
R. Towler
R. TowlerVerdediger
70
T. Hamer
T. HamerVerdediger
60
F. Draper
F. DraperAanvaller
50
R. Street
R. StreetMiddenvelder
40

Gedetailleerde Vorm & Recente Wedstrijden

Plymouth Argyle
DWWLW
10Gespeeld
5Overwinningen
2Gelijkspelen
3Verliezingen
Punten/Wedstrijd1.7
Winst %50%
Goals/Wedstrijd3.6
Gem. Goals2.2
Gem. Conceded1.4
Beide Scoren70%
Schone sheets20%
Niet gescoord10%

Recente Wedstrijden

14 mrtDbij Reading2-2
10 mrtWbij Wigan3-0
7 mrtWvs Doncaster Rovers2-1
28 febLbij Rotherham0-1
21 febWvs Cardiff5-2
Lincoln
WWWWW
10Gespeeld
9Overwinningen
1Gelijkspelen
0Verliezingen
Punten/Wedstrijd2.8
Winst %90%
Goals/Wedstrijd2.8
Gem. Goals2.5
Gem. Conceded0.3
Beide Scoren30%
Schone sheets70%
Niet gescoord0%

Recente Wedstrijden

14 mrtWvs Stockport County3-1
10 mrtWbij Exeter City1-0
7 mrtWbij Cardiff2-0
28 febWvs Blackpool4-0
21 febWbij Mansfield Town2-0

Onderlinge Resultaten

Wedstrijdstatistieken

MaatstafWaarde
Totaal Wedstrijden11
Gemiddeld Goals3.36
Beide Scoren55%
Meer dan 2.5 Goals55%
Meer dan 1.5 Goals91%

Goals per Team

TeamTotaalGemiddeld
Plymouth Argyle181.64 per spel
Lincoln191.73 per spel

Schone sheets

TeamSchone sheets
Plymouth Argyle3 (27%)
Lincoln3 (27%)
7 feb 2026Eerste DivisiePlymouth Argyle1-4Lincoln
16 aug 2025Eerste DivisieLincoln3-2Plymouth Argyle
10 apr 2023Eerste DivisiePlymouth Argyle0-2Lincoln
12 nov 2022Eerste DivisieLincoln1-1Plymouth Argyle
22 jan 2022Eerste DivisiePlymouth Argyle1-2Lincoln
2 okt 2021Eerste DivisieLincoln2-2Plymouth Argyle
27 feb 2021Eerste DivisiePlymouth Argyle4-3Lincoln
28 nov 2020FA BekerPlymouth Argyle2-0Lincoln
20 okt 2020Eerste DivisieLincoln2-0Plymouth Argyle
20 nov 2013FA BekerPlymouth Argyle5-0Lincoln
9 nov 2013FA BekerLincoln0-0Plymouth Argyle