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Serie BSerie B
Ronde 25

Sampdoria vs Padova Voorspelling en Wedtips

Sampdoria

Sampdoria

14.31 pnt
14 feb 2026
1-0
Einde
Padova

Padova

11.34 pnt
Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa
Correct
Onze keuze
Totaal doelpunten
Under 2.5
@ 1.64
1 : 0
FT

Wedtips

53%
27%
20%
SampdoriaGelijkspelPadova
Resultaat
Thuiswinst
@ 1.60
53%
Beide scoren
Nee
@ 1.72
54%
Dubbele kans
Thuis/Gelijkspel
@ 1.16
41%
Asian handicap
H. Thuis -0.75
@ 1.97
51%
Eerste Helft
Gelijkspel
@ 1.86
45%
HT/FT
Gelijkspel/Thuis
@ 4.20
23.8%
Exacte score
1:0
@ 5.00
20.0%

Aanvullende markten

Totaal hoekschoppen
Under 9.5
@ 1.70
54.7%
Doelpuntenmaker op elk moment
Massimo Coda
48.8%@ 2.05
Matteo Brunori
41.7%@ 2.40
Simone Leonardi
33.3%@ 3.00
Edoardo Soleri
33.3%@ 3.00
Nicholas Pierini
29.4%@ 3.40
Simone Pafundi
27.8%@ 3.60
Odds elk uur bijgewerkt
Voorspellingen opnieuw berekend elke 2 uur
Gespiegeld 2 uur voor de aftrap

Expertanalyse

David Coleman
David Coleman Senior Voetbalanalist
75% 20+ jaren
6 min lezen

Unstoppable Push or Steady Ship? Analyzing Sampdoria vs Padova In a fixture that could subtly influence their season trajectories, Sampdoria welcomes Padova to the Luigi Ferraris on February 14. The spotlight centers not just on the teams’ standings ...

Lees volledige analyse

Wedstrijdgegevens

Sampdoria
Sampdoria heeft alle 5 penalties dit seizoen gescoord
Sampdoria heeft slechts 1 van de 15 uitwedstrijden gewonnen
Sampdoria scoort 37% van hun doelpunten na de 75e minuut (11 goals)
Sampdoria heeft 3 rode kaarten ontvangen in 30 wedstrijden dit seizoen
Sampdoria scoort 70% van hun doelpunten in de tweede helft
M. Coda was betrokken bij 12 doelpunten (9G + 3A)
Padova
Padova heeft in elk van de laatste 6 wedstrijden geïncasseerd
Padova heeft alle 4 penalties dit seizoen gescoord
Padova heeft in 10 van de laatste 15 wedstrijden in de eerste helft geïncasseerd (67%)
Padova gemiddeld 2.5 gele kaarten per wedstrijd (76 in 30 wedstrijden)

Belangrijke Statistieken

Sampdoria1
1Gelijkspelen
0Padova
1.5Gem. Goals
50%Beide Scoren
0%Plus 2.5
14 feb 2026Sampdoria1-0Padova
20 dec 2025Padova1-1Sampdoria
Bekijk alle onderlinge wedstrijden

Kansen

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet1.283.253.30
188Bet1.833.354.20
1xBet1.813.105.21

Volledige analyse

David Coleman
David Coleman
Senior Voetbalanalist
75% Nauwkeurigheid
20+ Jaren ervaring
5.5k Voorspellingen

Unstoppable Push or Steady Ship? Analyzing Sampdoria vs Padova

In a fixture that could subtly influence their season trajectories, Sampdoria welcomes Padova to the Luigi Ferraris on February 14. The spotlight centers not just on the teams’ standings but on individual brilliance—most notably, M. Coda’s relentless pursuit of goals for Sampdoria. As both sides aim for consistency in the increasingly congested Serie B table, understanding the nuances of their recent form, tactical approaches, and key personnel becomes essential for unraveling this matchup's potential outcomes.

Setting the Scene: League Significance & Strategic Implications

While neither club sits at the summit, both are eyeing vital points that could propel them toward the upper echelons of Serie B. Sampdoria, standing 14th with 26 points, and Padova, just three points ahead with 29, are locked in a tight mid-table battle. For Sampdoria, consolidating home advantage at the Luigi Ferraris could be pivotal, especially given their recent trend of mixed results—averaging 1.4 goals scored and conceding 1.2 per game. Padova, with a slightly more defensive bent, boasts six clean sheets and averages 1.2 goals scored, but their recent form has been inconsistent.

Momentum Matters: Analyzing the Recent Run

Sampdoria's recent form of four wins, four draws, and two losses suggests a side resilient under pressure, especially with a streak of consecutive draws interspersed with victories. Their last five matches showcase a scoring rate of about 1.4 goals per game, with defensive lapses leading to an average of 1.2 goals conceded. Notably, 70% of their games feature both teams scoring, indicating a commitment to attacking play despite defensive vulnerabilities.

In contrast, Padova's five matches show a more inconsistent pattern: three wins but four losses, with their form dipping into three consecutive defeats recently. Their goals per game are slightly lower at 1.2, and conceding 1.4 reflects defensive fragility, despite their six clean sheets. With a BTTS rate of 60%, their matches often feature both offensive opportunities and defensive lapses.

Tactical Blueprints: Formations and Game Plans

Sampdoria typically deploys a 3-4-2-1 formation, emphasizing width and midfield control. Their approach leans on quick transitions and the utilization of wide players like F. Depaoli, who offers both width and defensive stability. The team’s attacking identity revolves around M. Coda, whose 9 goals make him central to their offensive threats, supported by N. Ioannou and Depaoli in creating scoring opportunities.

Padova, lining up in a 3-5-2 setup, prioritizes defensive solidity with a robust five-man midfield. Their wing-backs and central midfielders aim to disrupt opposition rhythm, while their two strikers look to capitalize on counter-attacks. Their defensive sturdiness, reflected in six clean sheets, suggests they are prepared to absorb pressure and hit on the break.

Key Players Who Could Shift the Balance

  • Sampdoria:
    • Mario Coda: The talisman with 9 goals, Coda’s positioning and finishing could be decisive if Padova’s defensive line wavers.
    • F. Depaoli: Beyond his assist tally, his crossing and set-piece delivery threaten to unlock Padova’s defensive shape.
    • N. Ioannou: A versatile presence in the backline and attack, Ioannou’s contributions could skew the game’s defensive battles.
  • Padova:
    • Top Scorers: While specific names are not provided, their attacking players are crucial to exploit any lapses from Sampdoria’s defense.
    • Defensive Anchors: The defenders orchestrating their six clean sheets will be vital—stopping Coda and preventing set-piece damage.
    • Midfield Playmakers: Their ability to control possession and supply quick counters can be game-changers.

Head-to-Head: Patterns and Potential Trends

The recent meeting between the sides ended in a 1-1 draw, with both teams scoring and the match averaging two goals overall. Historically, matches between Sampdoria and Padova tend to be tightly contested, with a 100% BTTS rate in their last encounter and an average of two goals per game. This pattern suggests a propensity for both sides to find the net but also indicates defensive vulnerabilities that could be exploited either way.

This recent 1-1 result underscores the importance of set-piece efficiency and the importance of defensive organization, especially considering Sampdoria's leaky defense at times.

Dissecting the Bookmakers: Odds, Probabilities, and Value

  • Match Winner: Sampdoria at 1.36 (implying a 55.8% chance), Padova at 4 (19%), Draw at 3 (25.3%)
  • Double Chance: 1X at 1.22 (implied 82%), 12 at 1.35 (74%), X2 at 1.8 (56%)
  • Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Typically, the odds favored for under 2.5 are around 1.80, aligning with a 59% probability, based on recent scoring patterns.
  • BTTS: Odds near 1.80 suggest a 55-60% likelihood, which aligns with recent trends of both teams scoring in most games.
  • Asian Handicap: Home -0.5 at 1.95 indicates a close estimate of Sampdoria’s chance to win outright, considering their slight edge playing at home.

Analyzing implied probabilities reveals that the market heavily favors Sampdoria, but the value lies in the modest under 2.5 goals market, as recent scoring rates just about support that threshold. The BTTS market also provides a fair proposition, given the current form and head-to-head tendencies.

Predictions and Confidence Levels: A Data-Driven Outlook

  • Match Result: Sampdoria win (50% confidence) – Their home advantage and marginally better form tip the scales, though Padova’s resilience cannot be discounted.
  • Total Goals: Under 2.5 at 59% confidence – Given the cautious tactical setups and recent scoring averages, a low-scoring affair appears probable.
  • Both Teams Score: No (53% confidence) – Slightly leaning towards a game where Sampdoria’s attack may find openings, but Padova’s defensive discipline could hold firm.
  • Double Chance (1X): Favoring Sampdoria or a draw, with a 39% confidence—good value considering their home edge and recent form.

Final Word: Tactical Discipline and Key Moments Will Decide

Sampdoria's attacking talent, led by Coda, combined with their home advantage, makes them marginal favorites. However, Padova’s defensive organization, paired with their counter-attacking potential, ensures this game remains tight and competitive. Expect a match where patience and capitalizing on set-pieces or defensive lapses will be decisive—especially given the statistical leaning towards under 2.5 goals and no BTTS outcome.

Best Bets Summary

  • Sampdoria to Win (1X): Based on odds and recent form, with a fair chance of extracting a narrow victory.
  • Under 2.5 Goals: Considering current scoring averages, this remains attractive with over 59% implied probability.
  • BTTS No: Slightly favored, given the defensive patterns and tactical setups.

In this encounter, statistical trends, tactical setups, and recent form converge on a low-scoring, closely contested match where Sampdoria’s slight home-edge could be the difference-maker. The intelligent bettor will consider the value in the under 2.5 goals market and the double chance, given the probabilities involved.

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Aanvullende informatie

SampdoriaSampdoria

Top scorers

M. Coda
M. CodaAanvaller
9Goals
F. Depaoli
F. DepaoliVerdediger
2Goals
N. Ioannou
N. IoannouVerdediger
2Goals
L. Henderson
L. HendersonMiddenvelder
2Goals
S. Pafundi
S. PafundiMiddenvelder
1Goals

Assists

M. Coda
M. CodaAanvaller
3Assists
S. Pafundi
S. PafundiMiddenvelder
3Assists
O. Abildgaard
O. AbildgaardMiddenvelder
2Assists
F. Depaoli
F. DepaoliVerdediger
1Assists
N. Ioannou
N. IoannouVerdediger
1Assists

Kaarten

L. Henderson
L. HendersonMiddenvelder
100
F. Depaoli
F. DepaoliVerdediger
70
N. Ioannou
N. IoannouVerdediger
50
S. Vulikić
S. VulikićVerdediger
40
L. Benedetti
L. BenedettiMiddenvelder
40
PadovaPadova

Top scorers

Geen data

Assists

Geen data

Kaarten

A. Barreca
A. BarrecaVerdediger
10

Gedetailleerde Vorm & Recente Wedstrijden

Sampdoria
DLDLL
10Gespeeld
3Overwinningen
4Gelijkspelen
3Verliezingen
Punten/Wedstrijd1.3
Winst %30%
Goals/Wedstrijd2.1
Gem. Goals0.9
Gem. Conceded1.2
Beide Scoren40%
Schone sheets40%
Niet gescoord40%

Recente Wedstrijden

14 mrtDvs Venezia0-0
8 mrtLbij Frosinone0-3
4 mrtDbij Juve Stabia1-1
27 febLvs Bari0-2
21 febLbij Mantova1-2
Padova
LLDWD
10Gespeeld
2Overwinningen
3Gelijkspelen
5Verliezingen
Punten/Wedstrijd0.9
Winst %20%
Goals/Wedstrijd2.8
Gem. Goals1.1
Gem. Conceded1.7
Beide Scoren60%
Schone sheets10%
Niet gescoord30%

Recente Wedstrijden

14 mrtLvs Catanzaro1-3
7 mrtLbij Avellino0-1
3 mrtDvs Spezia2-2
28 febWbij Modena2-1
21 febDvs Bari1-1

Onderlinge Resultaten

Wedstrijdstatistieken

MaatstafWaarde
Totaal Wedstrijden2
Gemiddeld Goals1.5
Beide Scoren50%
Meer dan 2.5 Goals0%
Meer dan 1.5 Goals50%

Goals per Team

TeamTotaalGemiddeld
Sampdoria21 per spel
Padova10.5 per spel

Schone sheets

TeamSchone sheets
Sampdoria1 (50%)
Padova0 (0%)
14 feb 2026Serie BSampdoria1-0Padova
20 dec 2025Serie BPadova1-1Sampdoria