SpainSpanje
Segunda DivisiónSegunda Divisie
Ronde 25

Valladolid vs Castellón Voorspelling en Wedtips

Valladolid

Valladolid

17.36 pnt
8 feb 2026
0-4
Einde
Castellón

Castellón

5.49 pnt
Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla, Valladolid
Correct
Onze keuze
Asian handicap
H. Uit -0.25
@ 1.41
0 : 4
FT

Wedtips

31%
26%
43%
ValladolidGelijkspelCastellón
Resultaat
Uitwinst
@ 1.97
43%
Totaal doelpunten
Under 2.5
@ 1.82
52%
Dubbele kans
Thuis/Uit
@ 1.31
36%
Asian handicap
H. Uit -0.25
@ 1.41
71%
Eerste Helft
Gelijkspel
@ 2.03
42%
HT/FT
Gelijkspel/Uit
@ 5.32
18.8%

Aanvullende markten

Totaal hoekschoppen
Over 9.5
@ 1.85
50.0%
Doelpuntenmaker op elk moment
Vegard Erlien
41.7%@ 2.40
Ousmane Camara
38.2%@ 2.62
Adam Jakobsen
38.2%@ 2.62
Israel Suero
33.3%@ 3.00
Raul Sanchez
31.3%@ 3.20
Tommaso De Nipoti
31.3%@ 3.20
Odds elk uur bijgewerkt
Voorspellingen opnieuw berekend elke 2 uur
Gespiegeld 2 uur voor de aftrap

Expertanalyse

David Coleman
David Coleman Senior Voetbalanalist
75% 20+ jaren
6 min lezen

Valladolid vs Castellón: Clash at José Zorrilla Sparks Strategic Battles and Betting Insights The atmosphere at the Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla is always intense, but on this Sunday afternoon, it’s carrying an extra edge. Valladolid, eager to cli...

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Wedstrijdgegevens

Valladolid
Valladolid heeft 6 rode kaarten ontvangen in 30 wedstrijden dit seizoen
Valladolid heeft alle 3 penalties dit seizoen gescoord
Valladolid heeft in 11 van de 30 wedstrijden niet gescoord (37%)
Valladolid incasseert 24% van de doelpunten in de eerste 15 minuten (10 goals)
Valladolid heeft 6 van de 15 thuiswedstrijden verloren (40%)
Valladolid gemiddeld 3 gele kaarten per wedstrijd (89 in 30 wedstrijden)
Castellón
Castellón heeft in elk van de laatste 7 wedstrijden gescoord
Castellón heeft 7 rode kaarten ontvangen in 29 wedstrijden dit seizoen
Castellón heeft alle 5 penalties dit seizoen gescoord
Castellón gemiddeld 2.9 gele kaarten per wedstrijd (83 in 29 wedstrijden)

Belangrijke Statistieken

Valladolid1
0Gelijkspelen
1Castellón
2.5Gem. Goals
0%Beide Scoren
50%Plus 2.5
8 feb 2026Valladolid0-4Castellón
22 aug 2025Castellón0-1Valladolid
Bekijk alle onderlinge wedstrijden

Kansen

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet2.153.301.62
188Bet2.983.452.21
1xBet3.233.342.31

Volledige analyse

David Coleman
David Coleman
Senior Voetbalanalist
75% Nauwkeurigheid
20+ Jaren ervaring
5.5k Voorspellingen

Valladolid vs Castellón: Clash at José Zorrilla Sparks Strategic Battles and Betting Insights

The atmosphere at the Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla is always intense, but on this Sunday afternoon, it’s carrying an extra edge. Valladolid, eager to climb away from the danger zone, hosts the high-flying Castellón, who are eyeing a promotion push. The home crowd’s energy, combined with Valladolid’s need for points, makes this more than just a routine fixture—it's a tactical chess match with implications for both sides’ seasons.

Setting the Scene: The Significance Beyond the Scoreline

Valladolid finds itself in the murky waters of mid-table mediocrity, clinging to 17th place with 28 points. Their recent form — just 2 wins in the last five matches — underscores the fragility of their campaign. Meanwhile, Castellón sits comfortably in second, four points behind the leaders but with a game in hand, making this game a vital opportunity to either cement their promotion bid or, in Valladolid’s case, to halt a slide that has seen them drop crucial points.

In the broader context of the Segunda División, this clash is more than three points—it's a test of tactical resilience and squad depth. Castellón’s recent form, winning four of their last five, contrasts sharply with Valladolid’s uneven run, and the visitors' confidence will be palpable coming into this fixture.

Momentum in Motion: Performance Trends and Current Shapes

Analyzing recent outputs, Castellón’s 7 wins, 2 draws, and just 1 loss over their last ten league matches suggest a team in rhythm, especially on the road. Their attack averages 1.8 goals per game, and their defense is solid, conceding only 0.6 goals on average, with a clean sheet rate of 50%.

By contrast, Valladolid’s form—2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses—paints a picture of inconsistency. Their attack has been modest, scoring only 1 goal per match, and defensively, they’ve conceded an average of 1.5 goals, with just 10% clean sheets overall. This discrepancy in recent momentum sets the tone for a challenging afternoon for Valladolid, especially against a side that’s been resilient on the road.

Tactical Blueprints: Formations and Expected Approaches

Valladolid typically lines up in a 4-2-3-1 system, aiming to stabilize midfield and utilize quick transitions. Their lack of defensive solidity—evidenced by their 27 goals conceded—suggests they’ll need to prioritize organization, especially against Castellón’s attacking threats.

Castellón, cloaked in their customary 4-2-3-1, focus on fluid attacking movements with Ousmane Camara and Álex Calatrava orchestrating the offensive play. Their defensive setup, which has yielded 8 clean sheets and conceded only 25 goals, indicates a disciplined shape. Expect Castellón to employ high pressing at times, forcing Valladolid into mistakes, but also to be cautious of counters, especially given Valladolid’s quick attacking players.

Key Individuals: Players Who Could Turn the Tide

  • Valladolid: Chuky San José, with 5 goals and 4 assists, will be central to their attacking creativity. His ability to create openings and link play could be vital in breaking down Castellón’s resilient defense.
  • Peter: The striker with 4 goals and 1 assist provides a clinical edge. His movement and finishing need to be on point to capitalize on any defensive lapses.
  • A. Ndiaye: Also with 4 goals, Ndiaye’s quickness could exploit space on the flanks, especially if Valladolid looks to stretch the game.
  • Castellón: Álex Calatrava, with his 5 goals and 4 assists, is their creative lynchpin, capable of unlocking defences with his vision and set-piece delivery.
  • Ousmane Camara: His tally of 5 goals and 1 assist makes him a constant threat on counters and in tight spaces, particularly in transition phases.
  • B. Cipenga: With 4 goals and 5 assists, Cipenga’s versatility and set-piece prowess add additional dimensions to Castellón’s attack.

History and Head-to-Head: Patterns and Tendencies

The only recent encounter saw Valladolid edge out Castellón 1-0 in August 2025. That match, played at Castellón’s home ground, featured a tight tactical battle, with Valladolid’s clinical finish deciding the outcome. Historically, the head-to-head record favors Valladolid slightly, but the trend suggests Castellón’s recent dominance could turn this fixture into a more open and attacking game, especially considering their form and confidence.

Betting Landscape: Unpacking the Odds and Finding Value

Bookmakers currently price the match with a slight favor towards Castellón, reflecting their superior recent form and league standing. The 1X2 odds show Castellón as favorite at approximately 2.10, with Valladolid around 3.50, and the draw at roughly 3.20. These imply probabilities of about 47.6%, 31.7%, and 31.3%, respectively, suggesting some value on Castellón’s win but also highlighting the unpredictability.

The Over/Under 2.5 goals market is close, with Under set at around 1.80 and Over at 2.00. Considering Valladolid’s defensive fragility and Castellón’s attacking potency, Under 2.5 goals at a slightly lower odd makes sense, especially given their recent 1-0 and 2-0 scorelines.

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) is priced around 1.80, reflecting the 40% BTTS stats for both teams and the potential for Castellón’s attackers to find openings against Valladolid’s leaky defense.

The Double Chance markets lean toward Castellón or Draw (1X), with odds approximately 1.50, but value can be found betting on Castellón outright, given their dominance and form trajectory. Asian Handicap markets favor Castellón at -0.25 or -0.5, which aligns with their perceived edge.

The Final Verdict: Predictions Grounded in Data and Intuition

Considering all the above, confidence leans towards Castellón maintaining their winning streak away from home. Their attacking firepower, combined with Valladolid’s defensive vulnerabilities, suggests a scenario where Castellón could edge out a narrow victory or at least secure a draw with a solid defensive effort.

**Predicted Result:** Castellón to win, with a 40% confidence level. The match is likely to stay under 2.5 goals, given the defensive records and tactical cautiousness, with a 51% confidence. Expect both teams to find the net about half the time—55% confidence—making BTTS a sound option for punters.

Best Bets Summary

  • Castellón to Win — value plays here, given their form and head-to-head edge. Implied probability ~47.6% versus actual odds (~2.10).
  • Under 2.5 Goals — with odds around 1.80, this market offers reasonable value considering defensive stats.
  • BTTS Yes — at 1.80 odds, aligning with both teams’ recent scoring patterns.
  • Double Chance: Castellón or Draw — safer option, but less value compared to outright win.

All signs point to a competitive, tactical game with Castellón slightly edging the encounter, supported by their recent momentum and attacking prowess. Valladolid’s home advantage and resilience could spoil the party, but their recent form suggests they’ll need to elevate their performance significantly to arrest Castellón’s surge.

Aanvullende informatie

ValladolidValladolid

Top scorers

Chuky San José
Chuky San JoséMiddenvelder
5Goals
Peter
PeterAanvaller
4Goals
A. Ndiaye
A. NdiayeMiddenvelder
4Goals
Juanmi Latasa
Juanmi LatasaAanvaller
3Goals
Víctor Meseguer
Víctor MeseguerMiddenvelder
3Goals

Assists

Chuky San José
Chuky San JoséMiddenvelder
4Assists
S. Biuk
S. BiukMiddenvelder
4Assists
J. Ponceau
J. PonceauMiddenvelder
2Assists
Peter
PeterAanvaller
1Assists
Juanmi Latasa
Juanmi LatasaAanvaller
1Assists

Kaarten

Iván Alejo
Iván AlejoVerdediger
100
S. Jurić
S. JurićMiddenvelder
61
Juanmi Latasa
Juanmi LatasaAanvaller
50
Víctor Meseguer
Víctor MeseguerMiddenvelder
50
J. Ponceau
J. PonceauMiddenvelder
50
CastellónCastellón

Top scorers

Álex Calatrava
Álex CalatravaMiddenvelder
5Goals
Ousmane Camara
Ousmane CamaraAanvaller
5Goals
B. Cipenga
B. CipengaMiddenvelder
4Goals
Israel Suero
Israel SueroMiddenvelder
4Goals
A. Jakobsen
A. JakobsenAanvaller
3Goals

Assists

B. Cipenga
B. CipengaMiddenvelder
5Assists
Álex Calatrava
Álex CalatravaMiddenvelder
4Assists
Israel Suero
Israel SueroMiddenvelder
3Assists
A. Mabil
A. MabilMiddenvelder
3Assists
A. Jakobsen
A. JakobsenAanvaller
2Assists

Kaarten

Alberto Jiménez
Alberto JiménezVerdediger
62
M. Doué
M. DouéMiddenvelder
50
F. Brignani
F. BrignaniVerdediger
50
Lucas Alcázar
Lucas AlcázarVerdediger
50
J. Mellot
J. MellotVerdediger
50

Gedetailleerde Vorm & Recente Wedstrijden

Valladolid
WDWDL
10Gespeeld
3Overwinningen
2Gelijkspelen
5Verliezingen
Punten/Wedstrijd1.1
Winst %30%
Goals/Wedstrijd3.7
Gem. Goals1.4
Gem. Conceded2.3
Beide Scoren50%
Schone sheets20%
Niet gescoord30%

Recente Wedstrijden

14 mrtWvs Leganés3-2
7 mrtDbij Málaga3-3
28 febWvs Huesca1-0
22 febDbij Sporting Gijón2-2
14 febLbij Granada CF1-5
Castellón
LLLDW
10Gespeeld
4Overwinningen
3Gelijkspelen
3Verliezingen
Punten/Wedstrijd1.5
Winst %40%
Goals/Wedstrijd2.7
Gem. Goals1.5
Gem. Conceded1.2
Beide Scoren40%
Schone sheets60%
Niet gescoord20%

Recente Wedstrijden

15 mrtLbij Sporting Gijón1-4
7 mrtLbij Real Sociedad II2-4
28 febLvs Racing Santander1-3
21 febDbij Las Palmas1-1
15 febWvs Deportivo La Coruña2-0

Onderlinge Resultaten

Wedstrijdstatistieken

MaatstafWaarde
Totaal Wedstrijden2
Gemiddeld Goals2.5
Beide Scoren0%
Meer dan 2.5 Goals50%
Meer dan 1.5 Goals50%

Goals per Team

TeamTotaalGemiddeld
Valladolid10.5 per spel
Castellón42 per spel

Schone sheets

TeamSchone sheets
Valladolid1 (50%)
Castellón1 (50%)
8 feb 2026Segunda DivisieValladolid0-4Castellón
22 aug 2025Segunda DivisieCastellón0-1Valladolid