GermanyDuitsland
BundesligaBundesliga
Ronde 21

VfL Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund Voorspelling en Wedtips

VfL Wolfsburg

VfL Wolfsburg

17.21 pnt
7 feb 2026
1-2
Einde
Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg
Correct
Onze keuze
Asian handicap
H. Uit -0.25
@ 1.24
1 : 2
FT

Wedtips

22%
22%
56%
VfL WolfsburgGelijkspelBorussia Dortmund
Resultaat
Uitwinst
@ 1.56
56%
Beide scoren
Ja
@ 1.56
60%
Dubbele kans
Gelijkspel/Uit
@ 1.21
39%
Asian handicap
H. Uit -0.25
@ 1.24
81%
Eerste Helft
Uitwinst
@ 2.10
41%
HT/FT
Uit/Uit
@ 2.43
41.2%
Exacte score
1:2
@ 7.00
14.3%

Aanvullende markten

Totaal hoekschoppen
Over 9.5
@ 1.70
54.7%
Odds elk uur bijgewerkt
Voorspellingen opnieuw berekend elke 2 uur
Gespiegeld 2 uur voor de aftrap

Expertanalyse

Hans Weber
Hans Weber Duits Voetbalspecialist
75.9% 14+ jaren
6 min lezen

Clash of Contrasts: Wolfsburg’s Resilience Meets Dortmund’s Clinical Edge At the Volkswagen Arena this Saturday, a pivotal Bundesliga fixture unfolds as VfL Wolfsburg hosts Borussia Dortmund in a match with far-reaching implications. While the visito...

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Wedstrijdgegevens

VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg heeft in elk van de laatste 17 wedstrijden geïncasseerd
VfL Wolfsburg heeft 5 competitiewedstrijden op rij niet gewonnen
VfL Wolfsburg heeft 8 van de 13 thuiswedstrijden verloren (62%)
Beide teams hebben gescoord in 13 van de laatste 15 wedstrijden van VfL Wolfsburg (87%)
VfL Wolfsburg heeft alle 3 penalties dit seizoen gescoord
VfL Wolfsburg incasseert 31% van de doelpunten na de 75e minuut (16 goals)
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund heeft in elk van de laatste 20 wedstrijden gescoord
Borussia Dortmund heeft in 13 van de laatste 15 wedstrijden in de eerste helft gescoord (87%)
Borussia Dortmund heeft alle 4 penalties dit seizoen gescoord
Borussia Dortmund incasseert 33% van de doelpunten na de 75e minuut (9 goals)
Borussia Dortmund heeft 9 van de 12 thuiswedstrijden gewonnen (75%)
Borussia Dortmund heeft 7 clean sheets in 12 thuiswedstrijden gehouden (58%)

Belangrijke Statistieken

VfL Wolfsburg1
1Gelijkspelen
8Borussia Dortmund
3.4Gem. Goals
50%Beide Scoren
60%Plus 2.5
7 feb 2026VfL Wolfsburg1-2Borussia Dortmund
21 sep 2025Borussia Dortmund1-0VfL Wolfsburg
3 mei 2025Borussia Dortmund4-0VfL Wolfsburg
22 dec 2024VfL Wolfsburg1-3Borussia Dortmund
17 feb 2024VfL Wolfsburg1-1Borussia Dortmund
Bekijk alle onderlinge wedstrijden

Kansen

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet3.104.101.33
188Bet4.504.151.73
1xBet4.624.271.77

Volledige analyse

Hans Weber
Hans Weber
Duits Voetbalspecialist
75.9% Nauwkeurigheid
14+ Jaren ervaring
2.6k Voorspellingen

Clash of Contrasts: Wolfsburg’s Resilience Meets Dortmund’s Clinical Edge

At the Volkswagen Arena this Saturday, a pivotal Bundesliga fixture unfolds as VfL Wolfsburg hosts Borussia Dortmund in a match with far-reaching implications. While the visitors arrive as clear favorites, the home side's recent struggles and potential for an upset warrant a detailed, data-driven examination. Central to this narrative is the figure of S. Guirassy, Dortmund’s top scorer, whose sharp finishing and attacking prowess could be decisive in tearing through Wolfsburg’s defensive fabric. His influence might well tip the scales in a fixture where both teams are navigating contrasting trajectories.

Context and Significance: A Midseason Opportunity for Both Sides

For Wolfsburg, the fixture represents a chance to stem the tide of a tough season that has seen them drop into 14th place with only 19 points after 28 games. Their recent form—just one win in five matches—reflects struggles both offensively and defensively, evident from their average goals scored (1.5) and conceded (2.2). Meanwhile, Dortmund’s campaign continues to impress, sitting comfortably in second place with 45 points, and a record of 13 wins, 6 draws, and just a solitary loss. With their solid goal difference and a disciplined defensive record, they are aiming to consolidate their title challenge.

Momentum and Recent Form: Diverging Paths Toward Saturday

Wolfsburg: Battling Inconsistency

The Wolves have registered a middling sequence of results—w L D W L in their last five outings—highlighting volatility. Their attack has been somewhat blunt, averaging just 1.5 goals per game, and defensively, they are vulnerable, conceding over 2 goals per match on average. The absence of clean sheets (0%) over recent fixtures underscores their defensive fragility, which could be exploited by Dortmund’s potent attacking line.

Dortmund: Riding a Wave of Confidence

In stark contrast, Dortmund’s recent form (W-L-W-L-W) suggests resilience and adaptability. Their attack, averaging 2 goals per game, paired with a robust defense that concedes only 1.4 per match, positions them as a well-rounded unit. Their recent results—more wins than losses—mirror a team approaching peak form, bolstered by their flexible 3-4-2-1 system that balances defensive solidity with attacking width.

Strategic Set-Ups and Tactical Expectations

Wolfsburg is likely to adopt a conservative 4-2-3-1 formation, focusing on compactness and counterattacks, especially considering their defensive vulnerabilities. Their key to success will rely heavily on midfield organization and avoiding defensive lapses, which Dortmund can capitalize on with their quick transitions.

Dortmund, on the other hand, will probably favor possession-based build-up in a 3-4-2-1, leveraging their midfield strength and width. Their tactical flexibility allows them to dominate possession and press high, creating scoring opportunities through speedy combination play. The presence of K. Adeyemi cutting inside from the right flank could be crucial if Wolfsburg’s defense opens up space.

Key Players Who Could Tip the Odds

VfL Wolfsburg

  • M. Amoura: Leading scorer with 7 goals, his positioning and finishing ability could threaten Dortmund’s backline, especially in transition.
  • D. Pejčinović: A set-piece threat with 5 goals, his aerial presence might become decisive during crosses and corners.
  • P. Wimmer: Versatile in midfield with 3 goals and 3 assists, he can orchestrate Wolfsburg's counterattacks and link play.

Borussia Dortmund

  • S. Guirassy: Top scorer with 8 goals, his clinical finishing and movement are central to Dortmund’s attacking dynamics.
  • M. Beier: Creative force with 6 goals and 3 assists, providing flair and threading key passes in attacking zones.
  • K. Adeyemi: Rapid winger with 5 goals and 2 assists, capable of exploiting any defensive lapses with pace.

Historical Head-to-Head and Tactical Patterns

Over the last nine meetings, Dortmund has maintained dominance with 7 wins, a testament to their tactical superiority historically. Wolfsburg’s solitary victory and a couple of draws highlight their occasional ability to challenge the visitors, but recent encounters underline Dortmund’s clear edge—average goals in these matches being 3.44, with BTTS scoring at 44%. Notably, the last five fixtures have seen Dortmund triumph without conceding multiple goals, pointing to their disciplined backline.

Decoding the Betting Market: Odds, Probabilities, and Value

  • Match Winner (1X2): Home 3.1, Draw 3.8, Away 1.33
  • Implied Probabilities: Wolfsburg 24.1%, Draw 19.7%, Dortmund 56.2%
  • Double Chance: 1X at 2.05, 12 at 1.25, X2 at 1.22
  • Asian Handicap: Home +0.5 at 2.15, Away +0.5 at 1.7, Home +1 at 1.65, Away +1 at 2.25
  • Over/Under Goals (2.5): Market not explicitly provided, but based on recent stats, over 2.5 is plausible.
Analyzing these odds shows a strong bookmaker consensus on Dortmund’s victory, with a high implied probability of over 56%. The underdog market, especially Wolfsburg +0.5 Asian Handicap at 2.15, offers value when considering their recent form and home advantage, despite their overall standing.

Spotting the Value: Betting Insights

Given Wolfsburg’s defensive frailty—conceding over 2 goals per game—and Dortmund’s formidable attack, a bet on 'Over 2.5 Goals' at a market average close to even money (or slightly better) appears justified. Additionally, the 'Both Teams To Score' market, with a 60% confidence level, aligns with the 80% BTTS rate Wolfsburg shows at home, combined with Dortmund’s 50% recent BTTS rate. The double chance X2 at 1.22 presents little value, but with a 39% confidence, it could be used as a safety measure in accumulator plays rather than as a core bet.

Prognosis and Expected Outcomes

- Result Prediction: Borussia Dortmund victory (55% confidence). Their superior attacking firepower and solid defense should overpower Wolfsburg’s inconsistent backline. - Total Goals: Over 2.5, with a 60% probability, considering the attacking potency of both sides and Wolfsburg’s defensive leaks. - BTTS: Yes, with a 60% likelihood, supported by recent statistics and attacking lineups. - Confidence Level: The most compelling prediction is Dortmund’s win, supported by statistical dominance and historical success.

Final Verdict

While Wolfsburg’s home advantage and individual threats pose some risk, the data suggests Dortmund's resilience, attacking depth, and recent form will likely prevail. The best betting options lean towards an away win combined with over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring, which collectively offers a balanced approach rooted in statistical validity.

Summary of Key Bets

  • Primary Bet: Borussia Dortmund to win at 1.33 (or consider X2 double chance at 1.22 for safer coverage)
  • Secondary Bet: Over 2.5 Goals at approximately even odds, given the offensive stats and defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Optional Value Play: Both Teams Score (Yes) at 1.9 or similar market, aligned with the 60% confidence estimate.

This match promises to showcase Dortmund’s ongoing quest for supremacy, challenging Wolfsburg’s resilience amidst tactical battles and individual brilliance, particularly from S. Guirassy and Amoura. Expect an engaging contest with scoring opportunities on both ends, yet the visitors’ superiority should ultimately shine through.

Aanvullende informatie

VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg

Top scorers

M. Amoura
M. AmouraAanvaller
7Goals
D. Pejčinović
D. PejčinovićAanvaller
5Goals
P. Wimmer
P. WimmerMiddenvelder
3Goals
L. Majer
L. MajerMiddenvelder
2Goals
M. Svanberg
M. SvanbergMiddenvelder
2Goals

Assists

S. Kumbedi
S. KumbediVerdediger
5Assists
C. Eriksen
C. EriksenMiddenvelder
4Assists
P. Wimmer
P. WimmerMiddenvelder
3Assists
L. Majer
L. MajerMiddenvelder
3Assists
M. Arnold
M. ArnoldMiddenvelder
3Assists

Kaarten

M. Arnold
M. ArnoldMiddenvelder
50
M. Jenz
M. JenzVerdediger
50
P. Wimmer
P. WimmerMiddenvelder
40
L. Majer
L. MajerMiddenvelder
30
M. Svanberg
M. SvanbergMiddenvelder
30
Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund

Top scorers

S. Guirassy
S. GuirassyAanvaller
8Goals
M. Beier
M. BeierAanvaller
6Goals
K. Adeyemi
K. AdeyemiAanvaller
5Goals
J. Brandt
J. BrandtMiddenvelder
5Goals
N. Schlotterbeck
N. SchlotterbeckVerdediger
3Goals

Assists

J. Ryerson
J. RyersonVerdediger
6Assists
Fábio Silva
Fábio SilvaAanvaller
4Assists
M. Beier
M. BeierAanvaller
3Assists
F. Nmecha
F. NmechaMiddenvelder
3Assists
K. Adeyemi
K. AdeyemiAanvaller
2Assists

Kaarten

N. Schlotterbeck
N. SchlotterbeckVerdediger
40
Yan Couto
Yan CoutoMiddenvelder
40
J. Ryerson
J. RyersonVerdediger
40
K. Adeyemi
K. AdeyemiAanvaller
30
E. Can
E. CanMiddenvelder
30

Gedetailleerde Vorm & Recente Wedstrijden

VfL Wolfsburg
DLLLD
10Gespeeld
1Overwinningen
3Gelijkspelen
6Verliezingen
Punten/Wedstrijd0.6
Winst %10%
Goals/Wedstrijd3.1
Gem. Goals1.1
Gem. Conceded2
Beide Scoren80%
Schone sheets0%
Niet gescoord20%

Recente Wedstrijden

14 mrtDbij 1899 Hoffenheim1-1
7 mrtLvs Hamburger SV1-2
1 mrtLbij VfB Stuttgart0-4
21 febLvs FC Augsburg2-3
15 febDbij RB Leipzig2-2
Borussia Dortmund
WWLLD
10Gespeeld
6Overwinningen
1Gelijkspelen
3Verliezingen
Punten/Wedstrijd1.9
Winst %60%
Goals/Wedstrijd3.5
Gem. Goals2
Gem. Conceded1.5
Beide Scoren60%
Schone sheets30%
Niet gescoord10%

Recente Wedstrijden

14 mrtWvs FC Augsburg2-0
7 mrtWbij 1. FC Köln2-1
28 febLvs Bayern München2-3
25 febLbij Atalanta1-4
21 febDbij RB Leipzig2-2

Onderlinge Resultaten

Wedstrijdstatistieken

MaatstafWaarde
Totaal Wedstrijden10
Gemiddeld Goals3.4
Beide Scoren50%
Meer dan 2.5 Goals60%
Meer dan 1.5 Goals80%

Goals per Team

TeamTotaalGemiddeld
VfL Wolfsburg70.7 per spel
Borussia Dortmund272.7 per spel

Schone sheets

TeamSchone sheets
VfL Wolfsburg1 (10%)
Borussia Dortmund4 (40%)
7 feb 2026BundesligaVfL Wolfsburg1-2Borussia Dortmund
21 sep 2025BundesligaBorussia Dortmund1-0VfL Wolfsburg
3 mei 2025BundesligaBorussia Dortmund4-0VfL Wolfsburg
22 dec 2024BundesligaVfL Wolfsburg1-3Borussia Dortmund
17 feb 2024BundesligaVfL Wolfsburg1-1Borussia Dortmund
23 sep 2023BundesligaBorussia Dortmund1-0VfL Wolfsburg
7 mei 2023BundesligaBorussia Dortmund6-0VfL Wolfsburg
8 nov 2022BundesligaVfL Wolfsburg2-0Borussia Dortmund
16 apr 2022BundesligaBorussia Dortmund6-1VfL Wolfsburg
27 nov 2021BundesligaVfL Wolfsburg1-3Borussia Dortmund